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Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania

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Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania »

Source: Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania

Volume/Issue: 2020/51

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matthieu Bellon , Carlo Pizzinelli , and Roberto Perrelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 March 2020

ISBN: 9781513527017

Keywords: Economic conditions, National income, Income distribution, Demographic indicators, Poverty indicators, Poverty, Consumption Volatility, Tanzania, South Africa, WP

Economic volatility remains a fact of life in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA). Household-level shocks create large consumption fluctuations, raising the incidence of poverty. Drawing on micro-level data from South Africa...

Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania

New
Household Consumption Volatility and Poverty Risk: Case Studies from South Africa and Tanzania »

Volume/Issue: 2020/51

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matthieu Bellon , Carlo Pizzinelli , and Roberto Perrelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 March 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513527017.001

ISBN: 9781513527017

Keywords: Economic conditions, National income, Income distribution, Demographic indicators, Poverty indicators, Poverty, Consumption Volatility, Tanzania, South Africa, WP

Economic volatility remains a fact of life in Sub Saharan Africa (SSA). Household-level shocks create large consumption fluctuations, raising the incidence of poverty. Drawing on micro-level data from South Africa...

Australia: 2019 Article IV Consultation—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

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Australia: 2019 Article IV Consultation—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia »

Source: Australia : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

Volume/Issue: 2020/68

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2020

ISBN: 9781513536088

Keywords: Financial and Monetary Sector, Balance of payments, National accounts, Economic conditions, Unemployment, ISCR, CR, RBA, bushfire, infrastructure spend

Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. While Australia has not experienced a major impact from declining glo...

Australia: Staff Report for the 2019 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex

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Australia: Staff Report for the 2019 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex »

Source: Australia : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

Volume/Issue: 2020/68

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2020

ISBN: 9781513536088

Keywords: Financial and Monetary Sector, Balance of payments, National accounts, Economic conditions, Unemployment, ISCR, CR, RBA, bushfire, infrastructure spend

Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. While Australia has not experienced a major impact from declining glo...

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with Australia

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IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with Australia »

Source: Australia : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

Volume/Issue: 2020/68

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2020

ISBN: 9781513536088

Keywords: Financial and Monetary Sector, Balance of payments, National accounts, Economic conditions, Unemployment, ISCR, CR, RBA, bushfire, infrastructure spend

Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. While Australia has not experienced a major impact from declining glo...

Australia
			: 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

New
Australia : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia »

Volume/Issue: 2020/68

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513536088.002

ISBN: 9781513536088

Keywords: Financial and Monetary Sector, Balance of payments, National accounts, Economic conditions, Unemployment, ISCR, CR, RBA, bushfire, infrastructure spend

Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. While Australia has not experienced a major impact from declining glo...

Statement by Nigel Ray, Executive Director for Australia and Laura Johnson, Senior Advisor to Executive Director, and Anna Park, Advisor to Executive Director February 21, 2020

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Statement by Nigel Ray, Executive Director for Australia and Laura Johnson, Senior Advisor to Executive Director, and Anna Park, Advisor to Executive Director February 21, 2020 »

Source: Australia : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Australia

Volume/Issue: 2020/68

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2020

ISBN: 9781513536088

Keywords: Financial and Monetary Sector, Balance of payments, National accounts, Economic conditions, Unemployment, ISCR, CR, RBA, bushfire, infrastructure spend

Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. While Australia has not experienced a major impact from declining glo...

Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning1

Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning1 »

Source: Deus ex Machina? A Framework for Macro Forecasting with Machine Learning

Volume/Issue: 2020/45

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marijn Bolhuis , and Brett Rayner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 February 2020

ISBN: 9781513531724

Keywords: Production growth, Capacity utilization, Economic growth, Stock markets, Emerging markets, Forecasts, Nowcasting, Machine learning, GDP growth, Cross-validation

We develop a framework to nowcast (and forecast) economic variables with machine learning techniques. We explain how machine learning methods can address common shortcomings of traditional OLS-based models and use...

Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US

Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US »

Source: Foreign Demand and Local House Prices: Evidence from the US

Volume/Issue: 2020/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Damien Puy , Anil Ari , and Yu Shi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 February 2020

ISBN: 9781513529264

Keywords: Economic conditions, Real estate prices, Housing prices, Business cycles, Demand, House Prices, Housing Affordability, Political Risk, Capital Flows., WP

We test whether foreign demand matters for local house prices in the US using an identification strategy based on the existence of 'home bias abroad' in international real estate markets. Following an extreme polit...

Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries

Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries »

Source: Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries

Volume/Issue: 2020/42

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , and Elizabeth Mahoney

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 February 2020

ISBN: 9781513530260

Keywords: Economic conditions, Price indexes, National income, Financial crises, Economic growth, Housing, Household Indebtedness, United States, Canada, Quantile Regressions

To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018. This pap...