Luc Eyraud, Andrew Hodge, Mr. John Ralyea, and Julien Reynaud
This note discusses how to design subnational fiscal
rules, including how to select them and calibrate
them. It expands on the guidance provided at the
national level on rule selection and calibration in IMF
(2018a) and IMF (2018b). Thinking on subnational
fiscal rules is still evolving, including their effectiveness
(for example, Heinemann, Moessinger, and Yeter 2018;
Kotia and Lledó 2016; Foremny 2014), and this note
only provides a first analysis based on international
experiences and the technical assistance provided by
the IMF. Main findings are summarized in Box 1.
The note is divided into five sections. The first
section defines fiscal rules. The second section discusses
the rationale for subnational rules. The third section
provides some guidance on how to select the appropriate
rule(s) and whether they should differ across
individual jurisdictions. The fourth section explores
the issue of flexibility by looking at how rules should
adjust to shocks. Finally, the last section focuses on the
“calibration” of the rules.