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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of South Sudan: Third Review Under the Staff-Monitored Program, Request for Disbursement Under the Rapid Credit Facility, and Program Monitoring with Board Involvement-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Dire and deteriorating humanitarian situation. About two-thirds of South Sudan’s population is experiencing severe food insecurity, the highest level since independence. This is a result of multiple compounding factors, including severe multi-year floods due to climate shocks, inter-communal violence in parts of the country, and the impact of Russia’s war in Ukraine that is contributing to high global food and fuel prices.
Keywords:
government operation; South Sudanese authorities; FSW disbursement; IMF team; authorities' effort; reform gain; customs administration reform; Oil; Government debt management; Debt sustainability analysis; Monetary base; Global; Southern Africa; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Mexico: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Detailed Assessment of Observance of Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This assessment of the implementation of the Basel Core Principles for effective banking supervision (BCPs) by the National Banking and Securities Commission (CNBV) is part of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) undertaken by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB). The assessment was performed during two missions between March 22 and April 4 and between June 21 and July 4, 2022, reflecting the regulatory and supervisory framework in place at the time of the completion of the assessment. It is not intended to represent an analysis of the state of the banking sector or crisis management framework, which are addressed in other parts of the FSAP.
Keywords:
IMF-World Bank Financial Sector Assessment Program; Banco de México; Constitución Política de los Estados Unidos Mexicanos; banking Stability Committee; Comisión Nacional; y de Valores; Credit risk; Market risk; Credit; Internal audit; Operational risk; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
West African Economic and Monetary Union: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
WAEMU inflation; deficit target; inflation DYNAMICS; market borrowing costs; auction market debt; inflation contagion; Inflation; Government debt management; Fiscal rules; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
West African Economic and Monetary Union: Staff Report on Common Policies for Member Countries-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for West African Economic and Monetary Union
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
The WAEMU’s post-Covid-19 recovery has so far withstood the new global and regional shocks, partly owing to supportive fiscal and monetary policies as well as relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals over the previous decade. Growth prospects remain favorable, reserves—albeit declining—remain adequate, and the financial system appears to be resilient. However, the region faces important challenges associated with rising inflation, limited access to international capital markets, eroding external buffers, and regional security issues, in the presence of elevated global risks.
Keywords:
inflation expectation; authorities of the West African Economic and Monetary Union; WAEMU economy; policy decision making; monetary policy mix; WAEMU population; Inflation; Government debt management; Fiscal consolidation; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Jamaica: Request for an Arrangement Under the Precautionary Liquidity Line and Request for an Arrangement Under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; Staff Statement; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jamaica
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Jamaica has built a strong track record of investing in institutions and prioritizing macroeconomic stability. This aided the country to adapt to the difficult global environment of the past few years. The authorities provided targeted support to the economy during the pandemic but promptly scaled it back as conditions normalized. Similarly, in the wake of the war in Ukraine, domestic food and energy prices were left to adjust to shifts in international markets while targeted support was provided to the poor. The economy is expected to continue its post-COVID recovery, with inflation returning to the central bank’s target range by end-2023. The outlook is subject to downside risks from potential new COVID waves, higher commodity prices, a global slowdown, and tighter than expected global financial conditions.
Keywords:
staff appraisal; RSF policy reform measure; climate priority; transition risk; risk financing Policy; Climate change; Natural disasters; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Global; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Technical Assistance Report-Government Finance Statistics Mission
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
"Please note the report is only available in French" This technical assistance (TA) mission on Government Finance Statistics (GFS) was conducted during November 14-25, 2022. The main purpose of the mission was to review the progress made by the authorities in implementing previous TA recommendations and provide further support to strengthen the compilation and dissemination of GFS in line with international standards set out in the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014 (GFSM 2014).
Keywords:
Government Finance Statistics Expenditure Public Sector
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Angola: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
SDG progress; D. SDG performance; financing framework; growth disorder; guarantee scheme; Credit; Sustainable Development Goals (SDG); Health care spending; Total expenditures; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Angola: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Angola
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Angola achieved macroeconomic stabilization amid a very difficult environment in 2020 and growth began to recover in 2021. The recovery picked up pace in 2022, aided by high oil prices. President João Lourenço was reelected in August 2022. Angola continues to face significant challenges, including debt vulnerabilities and the need to diversify the economy as oil production declines over the long term. The authorities’ reform agenda, including their upcoming 2023–27 National Development Plan, is focused on these challenges.
Keywords:
staff BOP projection; staff appraisal; asset declaration regime; governance reform; reform agenda; Oil prices; Credit; Global
Cover Selected Issues Papers
Food Insecurity in Nigeria: Food Supply Matters: Nigeria
Mr. Alun H. Thomas
and
Ms. Rima A Turk
Against the backdrop of high international food and fertilizer prices, this paper discusses food insecurity in Nigeria, investigates its drivers in a cross-country setting, and assesses the role of policies. Using two proxies for food security, we find that high per capita consumption, high yields and low food inflation support food security. Cross-country estimates of yields and production provided by the FAO/OECD reveal that use of inputs is lower in Nigeria than in other countries, and that policies to raise crop yields positively correlate with better food security conditions. The paper also uses detailed domestic commodity price indices to assess linkages with international prices and the role of import bans. Central bank policies for funding agriculture and import bans have not managed to stimulate agricultural output nor moderated the impact of international food prices. Rather, policies should focus on use of inputs that are severely underused in Nigeria as elsewhere in SSA.
Keywords:
Food insecurity; agriculture; yields; inputs; inflation support food security; food price inflation; vegetable oil; inflation differential; food inflation; food category; food import ratio; food consumption; food availability; food import reliance; Food security; Food prices; Consumption; Agricultural commodities; Food imports; Global
Cover Selected Issues Papers
Nigeria’s Tax Revenue Mobilization: Lessons from Successful Revenue Reform Episodes: Nigeria
Il Jung
This paper has identified four episodes of large and sustained revenue mobilizations in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and found common lessons from the episodes. Although there is no one-size-fits-all strategy, we can find a tax reform path suitable to Nigeria’s circumstances. Based on these cross-country experiences, this paper recommends: (i) implementing a package reform of tax administration and tax policy measures; (ii) focusing mainly on indirect tax (VAT and excise) reforms and tax incentive rationalizations; (iii) undertaking tax administration measures for improving compliance by strengthening taxpayer segmentation and automation; and (iv) launching social dialogue with key stakeholders as well as high-level political commitment.
Keywords:
undertaking tax administration; tax revenue mobilization; package reform; Nigeria's tax reform; tax incentive rationalization; Excises; Value-added tax; Consumption taxes; Tax administration core functions; Sub-Saharan Africa