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International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Strong growth continued in 2022 with minimal disruption from the war in Ukraine, while strong financial inflows supported domestic demand and liquidity. Although negative spillovers from the war have not materialized, it remains unclear to what extent Tajikistan will continue to be relatively unaffected by weaker economic activity in Russia.
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
A technical assistance (TA) mission was conducted during October 2022 to assist Statistics Botswana (SB) in the development of the strategic plan for the next rebase of the national accounts statistics. The SB will be focusing on the rebase over the coming years and has no plans to expand on what they currently produce unless adequate resources are obtained. The mission reviewed and suggested updates to the outline of the rebase with objectives and key tasks and to the implementation strategy. The timeline for the rebasing exercise was reviewed and agreed. The rebase will officially commence in April 2023 and is likely to take four to five years to complete, i.e., finish in 2028/29. The next base year will be 2024 given the timings of when key surveys will be undertaken, namely the Agriculture Census (2024/25), the Botswana Multi Topic Household Survey (BMTHS) (2023/24) and the Census of Economic Establishments (CEE) 2024. The questionnaires used in the last rebase were reviewed with the aim of improving the response rate and minimizing costs. The mission also provided some other examples of questionnaires which should provide some guidance.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

1. Tajikistan's strong economic recovery from the pandemic is facing challenges from Russia's war in Ukraine. As with other countries in the Caucasus and Central Asia, Tajikistan's economic linkages with Russia leave it vulnerable to spillover risks, with remittances from Russia historically accounting for around 30 percent of GDP.

International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

On behalf of our Tajik authorities, we thank staff for the insightful policy dialogue, the thorough policy assessment in a challenging regional environment, and the well-written papers. The continued engagement with the Fund is a critical and highly valued contribution to the authorities' ongoing efforts to maintain economic and financial stability and to implement important structural reforms. Going forward, they are interested in further deepening this engagement and have expressed their interest in a new Fund-supported program.

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

IMF Country Report No. 23/123

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Against the background of a strong economic performance over the last quarter of a century, Peru has been hit by multiple shocks in the last several years. Adequate policies and very strong policy frameworks have made the economy resilient. Following a steep decline in 2020 at the outset of the pandemic and a rapid recovery in 2021, growth slowed significantly in 2022 as the policy stimulus was withdrawn and external and financial conditions deteriorated. Recent political developments suggest that the new government needs to work across the political spectrum to create broader political consensus, reduce uncertainty, ease social tensions, and boost growth.
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

1. Peru’s macroeconomic performance in the last quarter of a century has been one of the strongest in Latin America. Peru launched a strong stabilization program in the 1990s, implementing ambitious structural reforms and adopting prudent policies and strong macroeconomic policy frameworks, including an inflation targeting framework and fiscal rules, which significantly strengthened its economic fundamentals.1 Coinciding with the commodity supercycle, these reforms allowed to lower the public debt burden in half, absorb large foreign direct investment, reduce poverty by two thirds, and build large macroeconomic buffers. As a result, Peru emerged as one of the region’s fastest growing and most stable and resilient economies despite political instabilities. The economy grew at an annual rate of almost 5 percent over the last two decades prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, multiplying its size by about 2½ times, gradually making progress toward converging to the standards of living of advanced economies (see Annex I for more details). Under its credible inflation targeting framework, inflation averaged 2½ percent over the same period, the lowest level in South America. However, economic growth moderated after the end of the commodity supercycle and the emergence of several large natural disasters.