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Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession+

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession+ »

Article

Source: Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession

Volume/Issue: 2019/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , and Max Gillman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513518626

Keywords: Supply and demand, Oil prices, Real interest rates, Energy prices, Gold prices, Oil Price Shocks, Granger Predictability, Monetary Base, M1 Divisia, Swaps

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes st...

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2019/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , and Max Gillman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513518626.001

ISBN: 9781513518626

Keywords: Supply and demand, Oil prices, Real interest rates, Energy prices, Gold prices, Oil Price Shocks, Granger Predictability, Monetary Base, M1 Divisia, Swaps

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes st...

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño*

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño* »

Article

Source: Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño

Volume/Issue: 2015/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475535495

Keywords: El Ni&;amp;#x00F1;o weather shocks, oil and non-fuel commodity prices, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, prices, inflation, variables, gdp, trade, Time-Series Models

This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the...

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2015/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475535495.001

ISBN: 9781475535495

Keywords: El Ni&;amp;#x00F1;o weather shocks, oil and non-fuel commodity prices, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, prices, inflation, variables, gdp, trade, Time-Series Models

This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the...

IMF Executive Board Modifies Rule for Setting SDR Interest Rate

IMF Executive Board Modifies Rule for Setting SDR Interest Rate »

Article

Source: Recent Fall in the SDR Interest Rate--Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1

Volume/Issue: 2014/075

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498342667

Keywords: Amendments to Rules and Regulations, Executive Board decisions, Interest rate reductions, Lapse of time approval, Rule T-1, SDR interest rates, Interest rates, Special Drawing Rights, SDR holdings, Reserve tranche positions

The SDR interest rate is at historic lows. Under the current Rule T-1, the SDR interest rate is calculated as the weighted average of interest rate instruments in the SDR basket, and stood at just 3 basis points fo...

Recent Fall in the SDR Interest Rate--Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1

Recent Fall in the SDR Interest Rate--Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1 »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2014/075

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498342667.007

ISBN: 9781498342667

Keywords: Amendments to Rules and Regulations, Executive Board decisions, Interest rate reductions, Lapse of time approval, Rule T-1, SDR interest rates, Interest rates, Special Drawing Rights, SDR holdings, Reserve tranche positions

The SDR interest rate is at historic lows. Under the current Rule T-1, the SDR interest rate is calculated as the weighted average of interest rate instruments in the SDR basket, and stood at just 3 basis points fo...

Recent Fall in the Sdr Interest Rate—Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1

Recent Fall in the Sdr Interest Rate—Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1 »

Article

Source: Recent Fall in the SDR Interest Rate--Implications and Proposed Amendments to Rule T-1

Volume/Issue: 2014/075

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498342667

Keywords: Amendments to Rules and Regulations, Executive Board decisions, Interest rate reductions, Lapse of time approval, Rule T-1, SDR interest rates, Interest rates, Special Drawing Rights, SDR holdings, Reserve tranche positions

The SDR interest rate is at historic lows. Under the current Rule T-1, the SDR interest rate is calculated as the weighted average of interest rate instruments in the SDR basket, and stood at just 3 basis points fo...

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis1

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis1 »

Article

Source: Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2012/174

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , Estelle Liu , and Jochen M. Schmittmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

ISBN: 9781475505221

Keywords: equity returns, sovereign debt crisis, regulatory capital, panel data econometrics, banking, tier 1 capital, bank bond, General Financial Markets,

This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk an...

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2012/174

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , Estelle Liu , and Jochen M. Schmittmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505221.001

ISBN: 9781475505221

Keywords: equity returns, sovereign debt crisis, regulatory capital, panel data econometrics, banking, tier 1 capital, bank bond, General Financial Markets,

This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk an...

United States : Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation: Reports on Observance and Codes

United States : Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation: Reports on Observance and Codes »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2010/250

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 July 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455206773.002

ISBN: 9781455206773

Keywords: holding companies, consolidated supervision, banking supervision, tier 1 capital, financial system

The report gives a summary of the detailed assessment report on the implementation of the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking in the United States and its recommendations, securities and futures market regu...