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Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...

Belize: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix

Belize: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix »

Source: Belize : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix

Volume/Issue: 2004/101

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 April 2004

ISBN: 9781451805468

Keywords: foreign exchange, exchange rate, balance of payments, international monetary fund, current account

An illegal parallel market for foreign exchange is prevalent in Belize. Its emergence and continued existence is attributed to the pervasive exchange controls, attempts to avoid banking fees, as well as the prevale...

Belize: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix

Belize: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix »

Source: Belize : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix

Volume/Issue: 2004/101

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 April 2004

ISBN: 9781451805468

Keywords: foreign exchange, exchange rate, balance of payments, international monetary fund, current account

An illegal parallel market for foreign exchange is prevalent in Belize. Its emergence and continued existence is attributed to the pervasive exchange controls, attempts to avoid banking fees, as well as the prevale...

CHAPTER 12 Bedfellows, Hostages, or Perfect Strangers? Global Capital Markets and the Catalytic Effect of IMF Crisis Lending

CHAPTER 12 Bedfellows, Hostages, or Perfect Strangers? Global Capital Markets and the Catalytic Effect of IMF Crisis Lending »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction Ever since Walter Bagehot’s times, it has been recognized that emergency liquidity support, to be effective, must in principle be unlimited. Of course, the precept shoul...

CHAPTER 8 Different Strokes? Common and Uncommon Responses to Financial Crises

CHAPTER 8 Different Strokes? Common and Uncommon Responses to Financial Crises »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction The recent proliferation of literature on international financial crises has demonstrated the variegation of causes leading countries to economic disaster. Once thought...

CHAPTER 3 Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? The Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment

CHAPTER 3 Do IMF-Supported Programs Boost Private Capital Inflows? The Role of Program Size and Policy Adjustment »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction What determines the success of IMF-supported programs? A simple approach is to ask whether the financing that a country can raise from private sources meets or exceeds t...

CHAPTER 6 Efficiency and Legitimacy: Trade-Offs in IMF Governance

CHAPTER 6 Efficiency and Legitimacy: Trade-Offs in IMF Governance »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction The ability of an international organization to achieve its goals ultimately rests on its legitimacy (Woods, 2000; and Van Houtven, 2002, p. 66). Legitimacy means that i...

CHAPTER 15 Evaluating IMF-Supported Programs in the 1990s: The Importance of Taking Explicit Account of Stoppages

CHAPTER 15 Evaluating IMF-Supported Programs in the 1990s: The Importance of Taking Explicit Account of Stoppages »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction During the past two decades, a number of studies have explored whether IMF programs are effective in improving participating countries’ current account, inflation, and g...

CHAPTER 5 Fiscal Policy, Expenditure Composition, and Growth in Low-Income Countries

CHAPTER 5 Fiscal Policy, Expenditure Composition, and Growth in Low-Income Countries »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction A large body of empirical research supports the notion that healthy budgetary balances are, over the long run, good for growth (Easterly, Rodriguez, and Schmidt-Hebbel,...

CHAPTER 7 IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Adjustment Programs

CHAPTER 7 IMF Conditionality and Country Ownership of Adjustment Programs »

Source: IMF-Supported Programs : Recent Staff Research

Series: Seminar Volumes

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2006

ISBN: 9781589063617

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, current account, capital flows, private capital, private capital flows, conditionality

Introduction International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending in support of adjustment programs is conditional on the borrowing countries adopting certain agreed policies. The conditions at...