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Aid and the Dutch Disease in Low-Income Countries

Aid and the Dutch Disease in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Aid and the Dutch Disease in Low-Income Countries : Informed Diagnoses for Prudent Prognoses

Volume/Issue: 2004/49

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mwanza Nkusu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451846874

Keywords: Exchange Rate, and Poverty, dutch disease, real exchange rate, foreign exchange, exchange rates, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Welfare and Poverty: General, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper demonstrates that the Dutch disease need not materialize in low-income countries that can draw on their idle productive capacity to satisfy the aid-induced increased demand. Diagnoses on, and prognoses f...

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1 »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable?

Volume/Issue: 1997/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451857634

Keywords: exchange rate, overvaluation, real exchange rate, currency crises, nominal exchange rate

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expect...

Are Emerging Market Countries Learning to Float?

Are Emerging Market Countries Learning to Float? »

Source: Are Emerging Market Countries Learning to Float?

Volume/Issue: 2005/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dalia Hakura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2005

ISBN: 9781451861174

Keywords: Learning to float, monetary and financial policy frameworks, exchange rate, exchange rate regimes, flexible exchange rate, flexible exchange rate regimes, financial liberalization, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

The paper finds that exchange rate flexibility in emerging market countries has increased over the past decade. This "learning to float" appears to have involved a strengthening of monetary and financial policy fra...

Assessing Competitiveness Using Industry Unit Labor Costs

Assessing Competitiveness Using Industry Unit Labor Costs »

Source: Assessing Competitiveness Using Industry Unit Labor Costs : An Application to Slovakia

Volume/Issue: 2012/107

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

ISBN: 9781475503289

Keywords: competitiveness, exchange rate, exchange rate misalignment, real exchange rate, exchange rates, Trade and Labor Market Interactions, Slovakia,

Conceptual ambiguities and statistical weaknesses hamper the assessment of external competitiveness. The term competitiveness, while applied extensively, is often imprecisely defined, which can result in analytical...

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations »

Source: Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-Based Exchange Rate Expectations

Volume/Issue: 1999/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Klaas Knot , and Jan Berk

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1999

ISBN: 9781451850345

Keywords: interest parity relations, exchange rate expectations, exchange rate, bond, bond yields, exchange rates

This paper investigates international co-movement in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity (UIP). Existing work is supplemented by focusing on long instead of short-term interest rates and by employi...

Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2013/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484300589

Keywords: emerging markets., foreign exchange reserves, exchange reserves, exchange rate

The purpose of this paper is to compare in-sample and out-of-sample performances of three parametric and non-parametric early warning systems (EWS) for currency crises in emerging market economies (EMs). The parame...

Credit Cycle and Capital Buffers in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Credit Cycle and Capital Buffers in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic »

Source: Credit Cycle and Capital Buffers in Central America, Panama, and the Dominican Republic

Volume/Issue: 2019/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valentina Flamini , Pierluigi Bologna , Fabio Di Vittorio , and Rasool Zandvakil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484397992

Keywords: Exchange rate policy, Credit booms, Central banks, Credit pricing, Credit risk, Credit cycle;Financial crises;Countercyclical capital buffer;Basel III;CPI inflation;GFC;countercyclical;synchronicity

Credit is key to support healthy and sustainable economic growth but excess aggregate credit growth can signal the build-up of imbalances and lead to systemic financial crisis. Hence, monitoring the credit cycle is...

Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies

Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Currency Crises in Developed and Emerging Market Economies : A Comparative Empirical Treatment

Volume/Issue: 2005/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Thomson Fontaine

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2005

ISBN: 9781451860320

Keywords: exchange rate, contagion, currency crisis, fixed exchange rate, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper takes a step in empirically testing the implications of a number of theoretical models that attempt to highlight the dynamics behind currency crises. By focusing on countries with broadly disparate econo...

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets »

Source: Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

Volume/Issue: 2006/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matthew Merritt , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

ISBN: 9781451864540

Keywords: Arbitrage pricing theory, risk prices, asset pricing, exchange rate, currency risk, exchange risk, foreign exchange risk, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedgi...

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar

Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar »

Source: Currency Speculation and the Optimum Control of Bank Lending in Singapore Dollar : A Case for Partial Liberalization

Volume/Issue: 1996/95

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kenneth Chan , and Kee Ngiam

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1996

ISBN: 9781451950472

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, financial markets, exchange rate volatility, currency crisis

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has a long-standing policy of controlling bank lending in Singapore dollars to nonresidents and to residents who use the funds outside Singapore. While the control may prev...