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Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...

Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development?

Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development? »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 1

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 April 2005

ISBN: 9781589064195

Keywords: recessions, recession, asian crisis, probability, probabilities, Capital Stock, Convergence (economics), Correlation (statistics), Decomposition Method, Economic Development. Econometric Models

This first issue of IMF Staff Papers for 2005 contains 7 papers that discuss: whether output recovered after the Asian crisis; the value of a country's trading partners to its own economic growth; whether interdepe...

Bankruptcy Procedures for Sovereigns: A History of Ideas, 1976-2001

Bankruptcy Procedures for Sovereigns: A History of Ideas, 1976-2001 »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

Volume: 49

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 September 2002

ISBN: 9781589061224

Keywords: money demand, banking crises, exchange rate, interest rates, international monetary fund

This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975-98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are us...

Can High Personal Tax Rates Encourage Entrepreneurial Activity?

Can High Personal Tax Rates Encourage Entrepreneurial Activity? »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451974515

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, currency crises, interest rates

This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual beha...

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls

Capital Flows to Brazil: The Endogeneity of Capital Controls »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451974515

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, currency crises, interest rates

This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual beha...

Capitalizing Central Banks: A Net Worth Approach

Capitalizing Central Banks: A Net Worth Approach »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 2

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 August 2005

ISBN: 9781589064485

Keywords: exchange rate, currency crashes, international monetary fund, currency crises, economic research, Bank Profits, Banks And Banking. Accounting, Capital Market, Consumption (economics), Credibility

This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India's productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. The...

Central Bank Financial Strength, Transparency, and Policy Credibility

Central Bank Financial Strength, Transparency, and Policy Credibility »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 2

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 August 2005

ISBN: 9781589064485

Keywords: exchange rate, currency crashes, international monetary fund, currency crises, economic research, Bank Profits, Banks And Banking. Accounting, Capital Market, Consumption (economics), Credibility

This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India's productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. The...

Centripetal Forces in China’s Economic Takeoff

Centripetal Forces in China’s Economic Takeoff »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 3

Volume: 49

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 September 2002

ISBN: 9781589061224

Keywords: money demand, banking crises, exchange rate, interest rates, international monetary fund

This paper empirically investigates the monetary impact of banking crises in Chile, Colombia, Denmark, Japan, Kenya, Malaysia, and Uruguay during 1975-98. Cointegration analysis and error correction modeling are us...

Comments Current Account Imbalances and Capital Formation in Industrial Countries

Comments Current Account Imbalances and Capital Formation in Industrial Countries »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 37 No. 3

Volume: 40

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1990

ISBN: 9781451973068

Keywords: real interest, real interest rate, labor force, exchange rate, industrial countries

This paper analyzes macroeconomic effects of projected population aging in industrial countries. The effects of population aging are examined with a theoretical model and simulations of the IMF's multiregion econom...

Comments on “From ‘Hindu Growth’ to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition”

Comments on “From ‘Hindu Growth’ to Productivity Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition” »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 2

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 August 2005

ISBN: 9781589064485

Keywords: exchange rate, currency crashes, international monetary fund, currency crises, economic research, Bank Profits, Banks And Banking. Accounting, Capital Market, Consumption (economics), Credibility

This paper examines contractionary currency crashes in developing countries. It explores the causes of India's productivity surge around 1980, more than a decade before serious economic reforms were initiated. The...