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The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises

The Challenge of Predicting Economic Crises »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2001

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557759832.051

ISBN: 9781557759832

Keywords: Economic conditions, early warning, warning system, early warning system, financial markets, currency crises, international reserves, international financial markets, overvaluation, financial institutions

The integration of financial markets around the world over the past decade has posed new challenges for policymakers. The speed with which money can be switched in and out of currencies and countries has increased...

Moving to a Flexible Exchange Rate
			: How, When, and How Fast?

Moving to a Flexible Exchange Rate : How, When, and How Fast? »

Series: Economic Issues

Author(s): Cem Karacadag , Gilda Fernandez , and Rupa Duttagupta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 August 2006

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589065437.051

ISBN: 9781589065437

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, inflation, foreign currency, foreign exchange market, monetary policy, exchange rate flexibility, exchange rate risk, exchange rate regime, flexible exchange rate

A growing number of countries are adopting flexible exchange rate regimes because flexibility offers more protection against external shocks and greater monetary independence. Other countries have made the transiti...

World Economic Outlook, April 2008
			: Housing and the Business Cycle

World Economic Outlook, April 2008 : Housing and the Business Cycle »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 June 2008

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589067431.081.A001

ISBN: 9781589067431

Keywords: Balance of payments, Exchange rates, Labor markets, National accounts, Prices, commodity prices, emission, monetary policy, mortgage, domestic demand

The global expansion is losing speed in the face of a major financial crisis. The slowdown has been greatest in the advanced economies, particularly in the United States, where the housing market correction continu...

World Economic Outlook, April 2007
			: Spillovers and Cycles in the Global Economy

World Economic Outlook, April 2007 : Spillovers and Cycles in the Global Economy »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 May 2007

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589066533.081.A001

ISBN: 9781589066533

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, current account, external financing, exchange rate, current account balance, balance of payments, labor share, labor compensation, oil prices, current account deficit

The IMF’s World Economic Outlook is packed with country specific facts, figures, and worldwide projections that present the outlook for growth, inflation, trade, and other economic developments in a clear, p...

World Economic Outlook, April 2015
			: Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors

World Economic Outlook, April 2015 : Uneven Growth: Short- and Long-Term Factors »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 June 2015

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484357736.081

ISBN: 9781484357736

Keywords: Global growth, trends, global shocks, exchange rates, market economies, public policy, oil prices, private fixed investment, potential output, new mediocre

Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April...

World Economic Outlook, October 2015

World Economic Outlook, October 2015 »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 December 2015

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513588643.081

ISBN: 9781513588643

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, economies, exchange rate, commodity, trade, prices

This issue discusses a number of factors affecting global growth, as well as growth prospects across the world's main countries and regions. It assesses the ongoing recovery from the global financial crisis in adva...

World Economic Outlook, October 2007
			: Globalization and Inequality

World Economic Outlook, October 2007 : Globalization and Inequality »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2007

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589066991.081.A001

ISBN: 9781589066991

Keywords: capital inflows, globalization, private capital, output volatility, private capital flows, private capital inflows, capital flows, capital controls, exchange rate, commodity prices

The global economy grew strongly in the first half of 2007, although turbulence in financial markets has clouded prospects. While the 2007 forecast has been little affected, the baseline projection for 2008 global...

World Economic Outlook, October 2013
			: Transition and Tensions

World Economic Outlook, October 2013 : Transition and Tensions »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 November 2013

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484329603.081

ISBN: 9781484329603

Keywords: inflation, current account, capital inflows, current account balance, monetary policy, external financing, capital outflows, capital flows, exchange rate, net debtor

Global growth is in low gear, and the drivers of activity are changing. These dynamics raise new policy challenges. Advanced economies are growing again but must continue financial sector repair, pursue fiscal cons...