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Aid, Exports, and Growth

Aid, Exports, and Growth »

Source: Aid, Exports, and Growth : A Time-Series Perspective on the Dutch Disease Hypothesis

Volume/Issue: 2013/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joong Kang , Alessandro Prati , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484320112

Keywords: Common factors, Panel VARs, Exchange rate overvaluation, exchange rate, real exchange rate, exchange rate policy, trade liberalization, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

We use a heterogeneous panel VAR model identified through factor analysis to study the dynamic response of exports, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a “global” aid shock. We find that a global ai...

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth1

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth1 »

Source: Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth

Volume/Issue: 2012/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931179

Keywords: Growth, resource curse, volatility, gdp per capita, growth rate, tfp, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well as on the three main growth channels: total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation,...

Commodity Terms of Trade

Commodity Terms of Trade »

Source: Commodity Terms of Trade : The History of Booms and Busts

Volume/Issue: 2009/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873528

Keywords: commodity booms, commodity busts, commodity exporters, exporters, Trade: General, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

We compile a historical dataset covering nearly 40 years of booms and busts in the commodity terms of trade of over 150 countries. We discuss the characteristics of these events and their effects on macroeconomic p...

Debt Accumulation in the CIS-7 Countries

Debt Accumulation in the CIS-7 Countries »

Source: Debt Accumulation in the CIS-7 Countries : Bad Luck, Bad Policies, or Bad Advice?

Volume/Issue: 2004/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ashoka Mody , Ratna Sahay , and Thomas Helbling

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

ISBN: 9781451851687

Keywords: growth, structural reforms, external debt, current account, deficits, debt burden, International Lending and Debt Problems, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova

Following the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1992, several low-income countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) accumulated substantial external debt in a short time span, about half of which is owe...

Determinants of Non-oil Growth in the CFA-Zone Oil Producing Countries

Determinants of Non-oil Growth in the CFA-Zone Oil Producing Countries »

Source: Determinants of Non-oil Growth in the CFA-Zone Oil Producing Countries : How do they Differ?

Volume/Issue: 2011/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexandra Tabova , and Carol Baker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

ISBN: 9781463921996

Keywords: real exchange rate, exchange rate, exporters, oil exporters, Intertemporal Choice and Growth: General, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

Non-oil growth in the CFA oil exporting countries has been lackluster despite their great natural resource wealth. In this paper we study the key determinants of non-oil growth and explore to what extent these coun...

The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuationson Output and Prices

The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuationson Output and Prices »

Source: The Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuationson Output and Prices : Evidence From Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2003/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Magda Kandil , and Ida Mirzaie

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2003

ISBN: 9781451860184

Keywords: exchange rate, anticipated vs. unanticipated appreciation, supply vs. demand channels, real and inflationary effects, price inflation, aggregate demand, money supply, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Economic Growth of Open Economies,

The paper examines the effects of exchange rate fluctuations on real output and the price level in a sample of 33 developing countries. The theoretical model decomposes movements in the exchange rate into anticipat...

Emerging Markets in Transition

Emerging Markets in Transition »

Source: Emerging Markets in Transition : Growth Prospects and Challenges

Volume/Issue: 2014/6

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Luis Cubeddu , Alexander Culiuc , Ghada Fayad , Yuan Gao , Kalpana Kochhar , Annette Kyobe , Ceyda Oner , Roberto Perrelli , Sarah Sanya , Evridiki Tsounta , and Zhongxia Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2014

ISBN: 9781498327664

Keywords: Emerging markets, growth, potential growth, convergence, heterogeneity, structural reform, productivity, terms of trade, trading partners, commodity prices

After a short-lived slowdown in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis and a swift rebound, emerging markets (EM) are now entering a period of slower growth. In fact, growth is now lower than the po...

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries : A Vulnerability Index

Volume/Issue: 2012/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , and Yasemin Bal-Gunduz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475528510

Keywords: Vulnerability index, growth crises, low-income countries, real gdp, gdp growth, gdp per capita, trading partners, exchange rate regime, Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models, Economic Growth of Open Economies

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling app...

External Debt and Growth

External Debt and Growth »

Source: External Debt and Growth

Volume/Issue: 2002/69

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helene Poirson Ward , Luca Ricci , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2002

ISBN: 9781451849073

Keywords: Growth, debt, debt overhang, debt service, International Lending and Debt Problems, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Economic Development: General, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper assesses the non linear impact of external debt on growth using a large panel data set of 93 developing countries over 1969–98. Results are generally robust across different econometric methodolog...

Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility

Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility »

Source: Financial Integration, Growth, and Volatility

Volume/Issue: 2005/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anne Epaulard , and Aude Pommeret

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2005

ISBN: 9781451860863

Keywords: Risk-sharing, Endogenous Growth, Stochastic Growth, global financial markets, financial markets, foreign assets, General Aggregative Models: Neoclassical, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Economic Growth of Open Economies

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the welfare gains from financial integration for developing and emerging market economies. To do so, we build a stochastic endogenous growth model for a small open economy that...