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Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Source: Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth1

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth1 »

Source: Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth

Volume/Issue: 2012/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931179

Keywords: Growth, resource curse, volatility, gdp per capita, growth rate, tfp, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well as on the three main growth channels: total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation,...

Competition and Firm Productivity

Competition and Firm Productivity »

Source: Competition and Firm Productivity : Evidence from Firm-Level Data

Volume/Issue: 2010/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marc Schiffbauer , and Sandra Ospina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982114

Keywords: regulation, entry costs, survey, correlation, instrumental variables, heteroscedasticity, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper presents empirical evidence on the impact of competition on firm productivity. Using firm-level observations from the World Bank Enterprise Survey database, we find a positive and robust causal relations...

Human Capital Convergence

Human Capital Convergence »

Source: Human Capital Convergence : International Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2001/32

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Randa Sab , and Stephen Smith

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451845112

Keywords: convergence, growth, enrollment rate, equation, primary enrollment, enrollment rates, primary education, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General, Health: Other,

In the growth literature, evidence on income convergence is mixed. In the development literature, health and education indicators are also often used. This study examines whether health and education levels are con...

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451874488.001

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth

Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2012/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463931179.001

ISBN: 9781463931179

Keywords: Growth, resource curse, volatility, gdp per capita, growth rate, tfp, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well as on the three main growth channels: total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation,...

Competition and Firm Productivity
			: Evidence from Firm-Level Data

Competition and Firm Productivity : Evidence from Firm-Level Data »

Volume/Issue: 2010/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marc Schiffbauer , and Sandra Ospina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451982114.001

ISBN: 9781451982114

Keywords: regulation, entry costs, survey, correlation, instrumental variables, heteroscedasticity, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

This paper presents empirical evidence on the impact of competition on firm productivity. Using firm-level observations from the World Bank Enterprise Survey database, we find a positive and robust causal relations...

Human Capital Convergence
			: International Evidence

Human Capital Convergence : International Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2001/32

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Randa Sab , and Stephen Smith

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451845112.001

ISBN: 9781451845112

Keywords: convergence, growth, enrollment rate, equation, primary enrollment, enrollment rates, primary education, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General, Health: Other,

In the growth literature, evidence on income convergence is mixed. In the development literature, health and education indicators are also often used. This study examines whether health and education levels are con...

Inequality, Poverty, and Growth
			: Cross-Country Evidence

Inequality, Poverty, and Growth : Cross-Country Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2005/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Garbis Iradian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451860474.001

ISBN: 9781451860474

Keywords: Inequality, growth, public expenditure, per capita income, economic growth, gini index, real gdp, gdp growth, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General, Financial Institutions and Services: General

This paper examines the empirical relationship between inequality and growth, and analyzes the impacts of growth, inequality, and government spending on poverty reduction. A new panel dataset has been assembled on...

The Volatility Trap
			: Precautionary Saving, Investment, and Aggregate Risk

The Volatility Trap : Precautionary Saving, Investment, and Aggregate Risk »

Volume/Issue: 2012/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reda Cherif , and Fuad Hasanov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503869.001

ISBN: 9781475503869

Keywords: Volatility, risk, precautionary saving, buffer-stock, growth, investment rate, standard deviation, nonlinear relationship, correlation, statistics

We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in...