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An Analysis of External Debt and Capital Flight in the Severely Indebted Low Income Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

An Analysis of External Debt and Capital Flight in the Severely Indebted Low Income Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa »

Source: An Analysis of External Debt and Capital Flight in the Severely Indebted Low Income Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

Volume/Issue: 1997/68

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Simeon Ajayi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1997

ISBN: 9781451961119

Keywords: external debt, debt, debt overhang, debt service, debt burden

The general objective of this study is to analyze the external debt and debt burdens of the severely indebted sub-Saharan African countries, estimate the magnitude of capital flight from them, and relate the estima...

Analyzing Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities in a Dollarized Economy

Analyzing Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities in a Dollarized Economy »

Source: Analyzing Balance Sheet Vulnerabilities in a Dollarized Economy : The Case of Georgia

Volume/Issue: 2006/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andreas Billmeier , and Johan Mathisen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2006

ISBN: 9781451864335

Keywords: Balance-sheet analysis, BSA, vulnerabilities, currency mismatch, foreign currency, commercial banks, external debt, currency mismatches, central bank, Methodology for Collecting

Balance-sheet analysis (BSA) complements traditional flow-oriented macroeconomic analysis by gauging mismatches in aggregate and sectoral balance sheets of an economy. Enabled by recent progress in data availabilit...

Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems »

Source: Anticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems

Volume/Issue: 2003/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chikako Oka

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

ISBN: 9781451843668

Keywords: early warning, probability, currency crises, debt service, external debt, debt outstanding, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper attempts to predict the incidence of arrears to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by modifying and applying two of the major early warning systems for currency crises: the "signals" approach proposed...

Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past?

Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past? »

Source: Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past?

Volume/Issue: 2016/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anne Oeking , and Mariusz Sumlinski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475554823

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, External debt, Arrears, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems

In this paper, we consider incidences of arrears to the IMF, focusing on protracted arrears cases and attempt to identify determinants of their occurrence. We use narrative and formal methods. In addition, we analy...

As You sow so Shall You Reap

As You sow so Shall You Reap »

Source: As You sow so Shall You Reap : Public Investment Surges, Growth, and Debt Sustainability in togo

Volume/Issue: 2012/127

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Antonio David , Luis-Felipe Zanna , Raphael Espinoza , Michal Andrle , and Marshall Mills

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503647

Keywords: external debt, external borrowing, public debt, International Lending and Debt Problems, Monetary Growth Models,

This paper presents an analysis of the public investment scaling-up strategy for Togo using a dynamic macroeconomic model that explicitly analyzes the links between public investment, economic growth, and debt sust...

Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries*

Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries* »

Source: Assessing Bias and Accuracy in the World Bank-IMF's Debt Sustainability Framework for Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2014/48

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Enrico Berkes , Catherine Pattillo , Andrea Presbitero , and Yorbol Yakhshilikov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2014

ISBN: 9781475579772

Keywords: DSF, Sovereign debt crises, debt thresholds, external debt, debt crises, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

The World Bank and the IMF have adopted a debt sustainability framework (DSF) to evaluate the risk of debt distress in Low Income Countries (LICs). At the core of the DSF are empirically-based thresholds for each o...

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods »

Source: Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Volume/Issue: 2005/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and Douglas Hostland

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2005

ISBN: 9781451862454

Keywords: risk measures, fiscal rule, public debt, external debt, debt burden, current account, primary fiscal balance, Simulation Methods, National Deficit Surplus,

This paper applies stochastic simulation methods to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies and provide probability measures for projections of the external and public debt burden over the medium te...

A Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crisis

A Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crisis »

Source: A Balance Sheet Approach to Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2002/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brad Setser , Nouriel Roubini , Christian Keller , Mark Allen , and Christoph Rosenberg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451957150

Keywords: Emerging markets, Financial crisis, International financial markets, National balance sheets, IMF policy, exchange rate, currency risk, foreign exchange, external debt, balance of payments

The paper lays out an analytical framework for understanding crises in emerging markets based on examination of stock variables in the aggregate balance sheet of a country and the balance sheets of its main sectors...

Big Government, High Debt, and Fiscal Adjustment in Small States

Big Government, High Debt, and Fiscal Adjustment in Small States »

Source: Big Government, High Debt, and Fiscal Adjustment in Small States

Volume/Issue: 2008/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rui Ota , and Stephanie Medina Cas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2008

ISBN: 9781451869019

Keywords: Government size, fiscal adjustment, external debt, external public debt,

Using a new fiscal dataset for small states, this paper analyzes the link between country size, government size, debt, and economic performance. It finds that on average small states have larger governments and hig...

Capital Flows to Central and Eastern Europe

Capital Flows to Central and Eastern Europe »

Source: Capital Flows to Central and Eastern Europe

Volume/Issue: 2006/188

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Philip Lane

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

ISBN: 9781451864489

Keywords: Trade balance, rates of return, net external position, FDI, liabilities, debt, external debt, external liabilities, International Lending and Debt Problems,

We examine the evolution of the net external asset positions of Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC) countries over the past decade, with a strong emphasis on the composition of their international balance sheets. We...