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Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries

Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries : Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya

Volume/Issue: 2013/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Andrew Berg , R. Morales , Rafael Portillo , and Jan Vlcek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2013

ISBN: 9781475537444

Keywords: Low-Income Countries, inflation, central bank, relative price, relative prices, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Forecasting and Simulation, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use...

Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries
			: Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya

Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries : Food and non-Food Inflation in Kenya »

Volume/Issue: 2013/61

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Andrew Berg , R. Morales , Rafael Portillo , and Jan Vlcek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475537444.001

ISBN: 9781475537444

Keywords: Low-Income Countries, inflation, central bank, relative price, relative prices, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Forecasting and Simulation, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use...

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community
			: An Empirical Investigation

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community : An Empirical Investigation »

Volume/Issue: 2013/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Davoodi , S. V. S. Dixit , and Gabor Pinter

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475530575.001

ISBN: 9781475530575

Keywords: reserve money, policy rate, vector autoregressions, inflation, monetary transmission, central bank, monetary policy framework, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Do changes in monetary policy affect inflation and output in the East African Community (EAC)? We find that (i) Monetary Transmission Mechanism (MTM) tends to be generally weak when using standard statistical infer...

Money Targeting in a Modern Forecasting and Policy Analysis System
			: an Application to Kenya

Money Targeting in a Modern Forecasting and Policy Analysis System : an Application to Kenya »

Volume/Issue: 2013/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Andrew Berg , Enrico Berkes , Rafael Portillo , Jan Vlcek , and R. Morales

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 November 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475538007.001

ISBN: 9781475538007

Keywords: Money Targeting, Low-Income Countries, inflation, money demand, central bank, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Forecasting and Simulation, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

We extend the framework in Andrle and others (2013) to incorporate an explicit role for money targets and target misses in the analysis of monetary policy in low-income countries (LICs), with an application to Keny...

On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa »

Volume/Issue: 2015/189

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anh Nguyen , Jemma Dridi , Filiz Unsal , and Oral Williams

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 August 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513583013.001

ISBN: 9781513583013

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), supply, supply shocks, demand, Time-Series Models, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), General, Sub-Saharan Africa.,

The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integrati...

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Tropics
			: A Narrative Approach

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Tropics : A Narrative Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2013/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Luisa Charry , Rafael Portillo , and Jan Vlcek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484398135.001

ISBN: 9781484398135

Keywords: Monetary Transmission Mechanisms, monetary policy, inflation, central bank, monetary fund, monetary transmission, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

Many central banks in low-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are modernising their monetary policy frameworks. Standard statistical procedures have had limited success in identifying the channels of monetary tr...

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community »

Source: Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community : An Empirical Investigation

Volume/Issue: 2013/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hamid Davoodi , S. V. S. Dixit , and Gabor Pinter

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475530575

Keywords: reserve money, policy rate, vector autoregressions, inflation, monetary transmission, central bank, monetary policy framework, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Do changes in monetary policy affect inflation and output in the East African Community (EAC)? We find that (i) Monetary Transmission Mechanism (MTM) tends to be generally weak when using standard statistical infer...

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Tropics

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Tropics »

Source: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Tropics : A Narrative Approach

Volume/Issue: 2013/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Luisa Charry , Rafael Portillo , and Jan Vlcek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2013

ISBN: 9781484398135

Keywords: Monetary Transmission Mechanisms, monetary policy, inflation, central bank, monetary fund, monetary transmission, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

Many central banks in low-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are modernising their monetary policy frameworks. Standard statistical procedures have had limited success in identifying the channels of monetary tr...

Money Targeting in a Modern Forecasting and Policy Analysis System: an Application to Kenya

Money Targeting in a Modern Forecasting and Policy Analysis System: an Application to Kenya »

Source: Money Targeting in a Modern Forecasting and Policy Analysis System : an Application to Kenya

Volume/Issue: 2013/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Andrew Berg , Enrico Berkes , Rafael Portillo , Jan Vlcek , and R. Morales

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 November 2013

ISBN: 9781475538007

Keywords: Money Targeting, Low-Income Countries, inflation, money demand, central bank, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Forecasting and Simulation, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development,

We extend the framework in Andrle and others (2013) to incorporate an explicit role for money targets and target misses in the analysis of monetary policy in low-income countries (LICs), with an application to Keny...

On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa »

Source: On the Drivers of Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Volume/Issue: 2015/189

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anh Nguyen , Jemma Dridi , Filiz Unsal , and Oral Williams

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513583013

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), supply, supply shocks, demand, Time-Series Models, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), General, Sub-Saharan Africa.,

The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integrati...