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Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh

Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh

Volume/Issue: 2015/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Leandro Medina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 May 2015

ISBN: 9781513551081

Keywords: exchange rate, fiscal risks, guarantees, debt, exchange, liabilities, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt, guarantees.,

This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to GDP growth, the exchange rat...

The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean1

The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean1 »

Source: The Challenges of Fiscal Consolidation and Debt Reduction in the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2012/276

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charles Amo Yartey , Machiko Narita , Garth Peron Nicholls , and Joel Chiedu Okwuokei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2012

ISBN: 9781557754967

Keywords: public debt, fiscal consolidation efforts, fiscal performance, fiscal adjustment, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

This paper examines debt dynamics in the Caribbean and discusses policy options for reducing the high debt levels. Based on empirical studies of factors underlying global large debt reduction episodes, important po...

Demographic Changes in Latin America

Demographic Changes in Latin America »

Source: Demographic Changes in Latin America : The Good, the Bad and …

Volume/Issue: 2017/94

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Santiago Acosta Ormaechea , Marco Espinosa-Vega , and Diego Wachs

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 April 2017

ISBN: 9781475594775

Keywords: Aging, Government expenditures and health, public pension spending, public healthcare spending, pension system reforms, Social Security and Public Pensions, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

The paper develops a simple, integrated methodology to project public pension cash flows and healthcare spending over the long term. We illustrate its features by applying it to the LAC5 (Argentina, Brazil, Chile,...

Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel

Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel »

Source: Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel

Volume/Issue: 2013/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Salvatore Dell'Erba , and Sergio Sola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 July 2013

ISBN: 9781484394502

Keywords: Real time data, Cross-sectional dependence, Heterogeneous panels, public debt, fiscal stance, budget deficits, fiscal variables, General, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset...

Finland's Public Sector Balance Sheet

Finland's Public Sector Balance Sheet »

Source: Finland's Public Sector Balance Sheet : A Novel Approach to Analysis of Public Finance

Volume/Issue: 2018/78

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Maren Brede , and Christian Henn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484349885

Keywords: Finland, Debt sustainability, Europe, Public Sector Balance Sheet, Intertemporal Fiscal Balances, General, Social Security and Public Pensions, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

We construct a comprehensive public sector balance sheet for Finland from 2000 to 2016 by complementing general government statistics with data on public corporations and public pensions. We show that exposure to v...

Fiscal Sustainability

Fiscal Sustainability »

Source: Fiscal Sustainability : A 21st Century Guide for the Perplexed

Volume/Issue: 2013/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484381991

Keywords: Intertemporal solvency, tax smoothing, debt stabilization, fiscal rule, stochastic simulation, fiscal adjustment, budget constraint, Deficit, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits

This paper critically reviews recent work regarding the sustainability of public debt. It argues that Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSAs) should be more than mere mechanical simulation exercises. Instead, a DSA sho...

Getting the Dog to Bark

Getting the Dog to Bark »

Source: Getting the Dog to Bark : Disclosing Fiscal Risks from the Financial Sector

Volume/Issue: 2015/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Timothy Irwin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513507736

Keywords: Implicit guarantees, fiscal risks, financial crisis, budget reports, guarantees, debt, liabilities, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt,

Fiscal reporting is intended to warn of fiscal crises while there is still time to prevent them. The recent crisis thus seems to reveal a failure of fiscal reporting: before the crisis, even reports on fiscal risk...

Growth Forecast Errors and  Fiscal Multipliers

Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers »

Source: Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers

Volume/Issue: 2013/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , and Daniel Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475576443

Keywords: government expenditure, output fluctuations, fiscal consolidation, fiscal multipliers, growth forecast, fiscal balance, General, General, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits

This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated...

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel

How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel »

Source: How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel

Volume/Issue: 2017/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paolo Dudine , and João Tovar Jalles

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475569797

Keywords: Tax elasticity, Tax systems, Time series, Tax revenues, Low-income developing countries, Developed countries, Business cycles, Emerging markets, Fiscal sustainability, Panel analysis

In this paper we provide short- and long-run tax buoyancy estimates for 107 countries (distributed between advanced, emerging and low-income) for the period 1980-2014. By means of Fully-Modified OLS and (Pooled) Me...

Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh

Assessing Fiscal Risks in Bangladesh »

Volume/Issue: 2015/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Leandro Medina

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 May 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513551081.001

ISBN: 9781513551081

Keywords: exchange rate, fiscal risks, guarantees, debt, exchange, liabilities, Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt, guarantees.,

This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to GDP growth, the exchange rat...