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Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus »

Source: Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus : An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Volume/Issue: 2013/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik , and Mohammad Rahmati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475531152

Keywords: Civil conflict, conflict recurrence risk, growth, institutions, geography, structural reforms, dynamic panel estimation, post-conflict, real gdp, gdp per capita

This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-g...

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle »

Source: Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

Volume/Issue: 2014/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498347792

Keywords: DSGE, Bayesian Estimation, Financial Frictions, Sources of Business Cycle, business cycle, business cycle fluctuations, Bayesian Analysis, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets

This paper estimates a New Keynesian DSGE model with an explicit financial intermediary sector. Having measures of financial stress, such as the spread between lending and borrowing, enables the model to capture th...

Growth in East Asia

Growth in East Asia »

Source: Growth in East Asia : What We Can and What We Cannot Infer From it

Volume/Issue: 1995/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Sarel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1995

ISBN: 9781451852080

Keywords: growth rates, economic growth, growth rate, growth accounting, estimation period

This paper examines the different arguments raised by the studies that addressed the East Asian growth experience. The original arguments presented in this paper are all on the negative side, highlighting problems...

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus
			: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus : An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions »

Volume/Issue: 2013/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik , and Mohammad Rahmati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475531152.001

ISBN: 9781475531152

Keywords: Civil conflict, conflict recurrence risk, growth, institutions, geography, structural reforms, dynamic panel estimation, post-conflict, real gdp, gdp per capita

This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-g...

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle

Financial Frictions and Sources of Business Cycle »

Volume/Issue: 2014/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498347792.001

ISBN: 9781498347792

Keywords: DSGE, Bayesian Estimation, Financial Frictions, Sources of Business Cycle, business cycle, business cycle fluctuations, Bayesian Analysis, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets

This paper estimates a New Keynesian DSGE model with an explicit financial intermediary sector. Having measures of financial stress, such as the spread between lending and borrowing, enables the model to capture th...

Growth in East Asia
			: What We Can and What We Cannot Infer From it

Growth in East Asia : What We Can and What We Cannot Infer From it »

Volume/Issue: 1995/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Sarel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1995

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852080.001

ISBN: 9781451852080

Keywords: growth rates, economic growth, growth rate, growth accounting, estimation period

This paper examines the different arguments raised by the studies that addressed the East Asian growth experience. The original arguments presented in this paper are all on the negative side, highlighting problems...

Latin America
			: Highlights from the Implementation of the System of National Accounts 1993 (1993 SNA)

Latin America : Highlights from the Implementation of the System of National Accounts 1993 (1993 SNA) »

Volume/Issue: 2008/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Ramos , Lisbeth Rivas , and Gonzalo Pastor

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870978.001

ISBN: 9781451870978

Keywords: 1993 SNA implementation, Data Module of the ROSCs, GDP estimation biases, fixed capital formation, gross fixed capital formation, consumption expenditure,

This paper reviews the Latin American experience with the implementation of 1993 SNAand the updating of the national accounts' base year. It also makes a preliminary assessment of the possible estimation biases in...

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time

New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time »

Volume/Issue: 2011/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455218998.001

ISBN: 9781455218998

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle...

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies

Real-time Forecasts of Economic Activity for Latin American Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2011/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philip Liu , Rafael Romeu , and Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455254293.001

ISBN: 9781455254293

Keywords: Nowcasting, Short-term forecasting, Real-time data, and Latin America, gdp growth, forecasting, real gdp, equation, equations, Model Construction and Estimation

Macroeconomic policy decisions in real-time are based the assessment of current and future economic conditions. These assessments are made difficult by the presence of incomplete and noisy data. The problem is more...

The Impact of the Global Crisis on Canada-What Do Macro-Financial Linkages Tell Us?

The Impact of the Global Crisis on Canada-What Do Macro-Financial Linkages Tell Us? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rupa Duttagupta , and N. Barrera

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451961751.001

ISBN: 9781451961751

Keywords: Macro-financial linkages, Bayesian VAR estimation, lending standards, real gdp, gdp growth, standards, growth rate,

This paper builds a Bayesian VAR estimation model of growth for Canada, by focusing specifically on the role of external and domestic financial indicators, including credit conditions. A variance decomposition show...