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Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions

Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions »

Source: Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions : The Case of Ireland

Volume/Issue: 2010/57

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451963687

Keywords: Asset Price Cycle, Property Bubble, expenditure, structural fiscal, fiscal balance, public finances, Estimation, Model Construction and Estimation, National Deficit Surplus, Econometric And Statistical Methods: - General,

Asset booms and sectoral changes can distort traditional estimates of structural fiscal revenue, and could lead to serious fiscal policy errors. This paper extends the estimation of structural revenues to take acco...

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Source: Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina »

Source: Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Volume/Issue: 2006/276

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

ISBN: 9781451865363

Keywords: Fiscal, monetary, trade balance, fiscal expenditure, fiscal tightening, disposable income, fiscal consolidation, Estimation, Model Construction and Estimation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper develops and estimates a model of the trade balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Credit flows and the fiscal stance are found to play a significant role in determining the trade balance. On this basis the...

External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks

External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks »

Source: External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks

Volume/Issue: 2007/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Srobona Mitra , and Elena Duggar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

ISBN: 9781451866087

Keywords: Contagion risk, Distance to default, contagion, systemic risk, banking system, interbank market, Model Construction and Estimation,

The large and growing international linkages of big Irish banks expose them to idiosyncratic shocks arising in other countries. We analyze international interdependencies of Irish banks-during both normal times and...

Financial Factors

Financial Factors »

Source: Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...

Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions
			: The Case of Ireland

Asset Booms and Structural Fiscal Positions : The Case of Ireland »

Volume/Issue: 2010/57

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451963687.001

ISBN: 9781451963687

Keywords: Asset Price Cycle, Property Bubble, expenditure, structural fiscal, fiscal balance, public finances, Estimation, Model Construction and Estimation, National Deficit Surplus, Econometric And Statistical Methods: - General,

Asset booms and sectoral changes can distort traditional estimates of structural fiscal revenue, and could lead to serious fiscal policy errors. This paper extends the estimation of structural revenues to take acco...

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451874488.001

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina

Credit Flows, Fiscal Policy, and the External Deficit of Bosnia and Herzegovina »

Volume/Issue: 2006/276

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865363.001

ISBN: 9781451865363

Keywords: Fiscal, monetary, trade balance, fiscal expenditure, fiscal tightening, disposable income, fiscal consolidation, Estimation, Model Construction and Estimation, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper develops and estimates a model of the trade balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Credit flows and the fiscal stance are found to play a significant role in determining the trade balance. On this basis the...

External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks

External Linkages and Contagion Risk in Irish Banks »

Volume/Issue: 2007/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Srobona Mitra , and Elena Duggar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451866087.001

ISBN: 9781451866087

Keywords: Contagion risk, Distance to default, contagion, systemic risk, banking system, interbank market, Model Construction and Estimation,

The large and growing international linkages of big Irish banks expose them to idiosyncratic shocks arising in other countries. We analyze international interdependencies of Irish banks-during both normal times and...

Financial Factors
			: Implications for Output Gaps

Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps »

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512860.001

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...