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Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus »

Source: Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus : An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Volume/Issue: 2013/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik , and Mohammad Rahmati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 January 2013

ISBN: 9781475531152

Keywords: Civil conflict, conflict recurrence risk, growth, institutions, geography, structural reforms, dynamic panel estimation, post-conflict, real gdp, gdp per capita

This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-g...

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Source: Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus
			: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus : An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions »

Volume/Issue: 2013/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik , and Mohammad Rahmati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475531152.001

ISBN: 9781475531152

Keywords: Civil conflict, conflict recurrence risk, growth, institutions, geography, structural reforms, dynamic panel estimation, post-conflict, real gdp, gdp per capita

This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-g...

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved?

Can the IMF's Medium-Term Growth Projections Be Improved? »

Volume/Issue: 2004/203

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juan Zalduendo , and Catia Batista

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451874488.001

ISBN: 9781451874488

Keywords: Model estimation, forecasting, growth, inflation, statistic, terms of trade, inflation rates, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General

Numerous reports have noted that the IMF's medium-term growth projections are overly optimistic, raising questions as to how these can be improved. To this end, we estimate a growth model and examine its out-of-sam...

Price Subsidies and the Conduct of Monetary Policy

Price Subsidies and the Conduct of Monetary Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2012/15

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nooman Rebei , and Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463931209.001

ISBN: 9781463931209

Keywords: Taylor rules, optimal monetary policy, general equilibrium, government subsidies, Bayesian estimation, inflation, inflation rates, monetary economics, General Aggregative Models,

This paper investigates optimized monetary policy rules in the presence of government intervention to stabilize prices of certain categories of goods and services. The paper estimates a small-scale, structural equi...

Mobilizing Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Empirical Norms and Key Determinants

Mobilizing Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa : Empirical Norms and Key Determinants »

Volume/Issue: 2012/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Wendell Daal , Nandini Srivastava , and Luiz Oliveira

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475503296.001

ISBN: 9781475503296

Keywords: econometric panel estimation, tax revenue, fiscal revenue, tax policy, taxation, tax effort, Subsidies, and Revenue: General, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Econometric Modeling: Other,

Mobilizing more revenue is a priority for sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. Countries have to finance their development agendas, and weak revenue mobilization is the root cause of fiscal imbalances in several co...

The Sources of Business Cycles in a Low Income Country

The Sources of Business Cycles in a Low Income Country »

Volume/Issue: 2015/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Romain Houssa , Jolan Mohimont , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 February 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498310147.001

ISBN: 9781498310147

Keywords: Credit Shocks, Macroeconomic Stabilization Policies, Sign Restrictions, Bayesian VAR, credit, productivity, inflation, prices, exchange, Models with Panel Data

We examine the role of global and domestic shocks in driving macroeconomic fluctuations for Ghana. We are able to study the impact of exogenous shocks including productivity, credit supply, and commodity price shoc...

Understanding Countries' Tax Effort

Understanding Countries' Tax Effort »

Volume/Issue: 2013/244

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ricardo Fenochietto , and Carola Pessino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484301272.001

ISBN: 9781484301272

Keywords: tax effort, tax frontier, tax capacity, stochastic tax frontier, inefficiency, tax revenues, tax analysis, determinants of tax revenue, tax system, Models with Panel Data

This paper presents a model to determine the tax effort and tax capacity of 113 countries and the main variables on which they depend. The results and the model allow a clear determination of which countries are ne...

Mobilizing Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa

Mobilizing Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa »

Source: Mobilizing Revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa : Empirical Norms and Key Determinants

Volume/Issue: 2012/108

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Wendell Daal , Nandini Srivastava , and Luiz Oliveira

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503296

Keywords: econometric panel estimation, tax revenue, fiscal revenue, tax policy, taxation, tax effort, Subsidies, and Revenue: General, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Econometric Modeling: Other,

Mobilizing more revenue is a priority for sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. Countries have to finance their development agendas, and weak revenue mobilization is the root cause of fiscal imbalances in several co...

Price Subsidies and the Conduct of Monetary Policy

Price Subsidies and the Conduct of Monetary Policy »

Source: Price Subsidies and the Conduct of Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2012/15

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nooman Rebei , and Mohamed Safouane Ben Aissa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931209

Keywords: Taylor rules, optimal monetary policy, general equilibrium, government subsidies, Bayesian estimation, inflation, inflation rates, monetary economics, General Aggregative Models,

This paper investigates optimized monetary policy rules in the presence of government intervention to stabilize prices of certain categories of goods and services. The paper estimates a small-scale, structural equi...