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Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey

Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey »

Source: Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey

Volume/Issue: 2019/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ippei Shibata

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 February 2019

ISBN: 9781498300452

Keywords: Persons not in labor force, Labor market policy, Labor force, Labor force participation, Labor markets, Gross Worker Flows, Current Population Survey, Classification Errors, Unemployment, Shimer

Labor market indicators are critical for policymakers, but measurement error in labor force survey data is known to be substantial. In this paper, I quantify the implications of classification errors in the U.S. Cu...

Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey

Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey »

Volume/Issue: 2019/40

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ippei Shibata

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498300452.001

ISBN: 9781498300452

Keywords: Persons not in labor force, Labor market policy, Labor force, Labor force participation, Labor markets, Gross Worker Flows, Current Population Survey, Classification Errors, Unemployment, Shimer

Labor market indicators are critical for policymakers, but measurement error in labor force survey data is known to be substantial. In this paper, I quantify the implications of classification errors in the U.S. Cu...

Market Regulation, Cycles and Growth in a Monetary Union

Market Regulation, Cycles and Growth in a Monetary Union »

Volume/Issue: 2019/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mirko Abbritti , and Sebastian Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 June 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498311489.001

ISBN: 9781498311489

Keywords: Price indexes, Business cycles, Unemployment, Total factor productivity, Employment, Currency union, endogenous growth, labor and product market regulation, TFP, euro area

We build a two-country currency union DSGE model with endogenous growth to assess the role of cross-country differences in product and labor market regulations for long-term growth and for the adjustment to shocks....

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis »

Volume/Issue: 2019/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Alichi , Hayk Avetisyan , Douglas Laxton , Shalva Mkhatrishvili , Armen Nurbekyan , Lusine Torosyan , and Hou Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484398067.001

ISBN: 9781484398067

Keywords: Business cycles, Unemployment, Potential output, Capacity utilization, Production growth, Macroeconomic Modeling;output gap;NAIRU;hysteresis;potential growth;Volcker

This paper extends the multivariate filter approach of estimating potential output developed by Alichi and others (2018) to incorporate labor market hysteresis. This extension captures the idea that long and deep r...

Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks

Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 2019/56

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bas Bakker , Marta Korczak , and Krzysztof Krogulski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 March 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484399637.001

ISBN: 9781484399637

Keywords: Risk premium, Market interest rates, Interest rates, Real interest rates, Unemployment, Risk premia, Euro area crisis, global economic and fincanial crisis, premia, euro area

In the last decade, over half of the EU countries in the euro area or with currencies pegged to the euro were hit by large risk premium shocks. Previous papers have focused on the impact of these shocks on demand....

Market Regulation, Cycles and Growth in a Monetary Union

Market Regulation, Cycles and Growth in a Monetary Union »

Source: Market Regulation, Cycles and Growth in a Monetary Union

Volume/Issue: 2019/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mirko Abbritti , and Sebastian Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 June 2019

ISBN: 9781498311489

Keywords: Price indexes, Business cycles, Unemployment, Total factor productivity, Employment, Currency union, endogenous growth, labor and product market regulation, TFP, euro area

We build a two-country currency union DSGE model with endogenous growth to assess the role of cross-country differences in product and labor market regulations for long-term growth and for the adjustment to shocks....

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis »

Source: Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the United States: An Extension with Labor Market Hysteresis

Volume/Issue: 2019/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Alichi , Hayk Avetisyan , Douglas Laxton , Shalva Mkhatrishvili , Armen Nurbekyan , Lusine Torosyan , and Hou Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484398067

Keywords: Business cycles, Unemployment, Potential output, Capacity utilization, Production growth, Macroeconomic Modeling;output gap;NAIRU;hysteresis;potential growth;Volcker

This paper extends the multivariate filter approach of estimating potential output developed by Alichi and others (2018) to incorporate labor market hysteresis. This extension captures the idea that long and deep r...

Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks

Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks »

Source: Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2019/56

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bas Bakker , Marta Korczak , and Krzysztof Krogulski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 March 2019

ISBN: 9781484399637

Keywords: Risk premium, Market interest rates, Interest rates, Real interest rates, Unemployment, Risk premia, Euro area crisis, global economic and fincanial crisis, premia, euro area

In the last decade, over half of the EU countries in the euro area or with currencies pegged to the euro were hit by large risk premium shocks. Previous papers have focused on the impact of these shocks on demand....