Browse

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 29 items

  • Keywords: serial correlation x
Clear All
The Art of Making Everybody Happy: How to Prevent a Secession

The Art of Making Everybody Happy: How to Prevent a Secession »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 3

Volume: 50

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 November 2003

ISBN: 9781589062030

Keywords: unit root, real exchange rate, confidence intervals, confidence interval, serial correlation

This paper analyzes the issue of purchasing power parity using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 20 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period. The serial correlation-robust median-unbiased es...

Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors in Panel Probits

Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors in Panel Probits »

Source: Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors in Panel Probits : An Application to Currency Crisis Prediction

Volume/Issue: 2004/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , and Rebecca Coke

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451845860

Keywords: Currency crisis, early-warning systems, serial correlation, panel probit, standard errors, bootstrap, standard error, correlation, Simulation Methods, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Many estimates of early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis have reported incorrect standard errors because of serial correlation in the context of panel probit regressions. This paper documents the magn...

“Big Bang” Versus Gradualism in Economic Reforms: An Intertemporal Analysis with an Application to China

“Big Bang” Versus Gradualism in Economic Reforms: An Intertemporal Analysis with an Application to China »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 3

Volume: 50

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 November 2003

ISBN: 9781589062030

Keywords: unit root, real exchange rate, confidence intervals, confidence interval, serial correlation

This paper analyzes the issue of purchasing power parity using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 20 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period. The serial correlation-robust median-unbiased es...

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach

Commodity Price Shocks and the Odds on Fiscal Performance: A Structural Vector Autoregression Approach »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures

Core Inflation: Measurement and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Alternative Measures »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts

An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework

Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

Grants vs. Loans

Grants vs. Loans »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 54, No. 1

Volume: 54

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 September 2007

ISBN: 9781589066052

Keywords: forecast errors, forecast error, serial correlation, test statistics, output growth

This is the first issue of IMF Staff Papers published under a special partnership between the IMF and Palgrave Macmillan. Very little will change with regard to the journal's visual appearance, though significant s...

The High-Yield Spread as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity: Evidence of a Financial Accelerator for the United States

The High-Yield Spread as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity: Evidence of a Financial Accelerator for the United States »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 50, No. 3

Volume: 50

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 November 2003

ISBN: 9781589062030

Keywords: unit root, real exchange rate, confidence intervals, confidence interval, serial correlation

This paper analyzes the issue of purchasing power parity using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 20 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period. The serial correlation-robust median-unbiased es...

Islamic Republic of Iran
			: Selected Issues

Islamic Republic of Iran : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2008/285

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 August 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451819069.002

ISBN: 9781451819069

Keywords: p-value, null hypothesis, serial correlation, unit root

This Selected Issues Paper on Iran reviews that monetary factors are the main determinants of inflation in the country. Government spending out of oil revenues leads to large liquidity injections that the central b...