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I. The Near- and Medium-Term Fiscal Outlook.

I. The Near- and Medium-Term Fiscal Outlook. »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

A. Outlook for 2010. 1. While global activity is rebounding faster than projected earlier, the fiscal outlook is not improving commensurately. The overall fiscal deficit for the worl...

II. Implications of Fiscal Developments for Government Debt Markets

II. Implications of Fiscal Developments for Government Debt Markets »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

A. Financing Needs 13. Government financing needs remain exceptionally high in most advanced economies. This year, aggregate gross financing needs—defined as the new overall borrowin...

III. The Fiscal Policy Outlook: Adjustment Needs and Plans

III. The Fiscal Policy Outlook: Adjustment Needs and Plans »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

21. Major fiscal consolidation will be needed over the years ahead. The increase in budget deficits played a key role in staving off an economic catastrophe. As economic conditions improve, the attention of...

A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks
			: Application to Stress Testing

A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks : Application to Stress Testing »

Volume/Issue: 2012/216

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Schmieder , Tidiane Kinda , Nassim Taleb , Elena Loukoianova , and Elie Canetti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505665.001

ISBN: 9781475505665

Keywords: Stability, debt dynamics, sovereign debt, net debt, banking,

This paper presents a simple heuristic measure of tail risk, which is applied to individual bank stress tests and to public debt. Stress testing can be seen as a first order test of the level of potential negative...

The U.S. Public Debt
			: Implications for Growth

The U.S. Public Debt : Implications for Growth »

Volume/Issue: 1994/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Asilis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451841978.001

ISBN: 9781451841978

Keywords: public debt, fiscal correction, current account, fiscal policy, net debt

The increase in the U.S. public debt over the past twelve years raises questions about its implications for investment and economic growth. This paper places these developments within an international and historica...

IV. Adjustment Measures and Institutions

IV. Adjustment Measures and Institutions »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

A. Strategies for Adjustment 36. Achieving large fiscal adjustments will require a variety of measures, with emphasis likely on the expenditure side. This section summarizes recent w...

Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead »

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455280490.089

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

With increasing fiscal challenges in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, multilateral surveillance of fiscal developments, a key part of the IMF's surveillance responsibilities, has gained further importa...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

With increasing fiscal challenges in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, multilateral surveillance of fiscal developments, a key part of the IMF's surveillance responsibilities, has gained further importa...

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: Navigating the Fiscal Challenges Ahead

Series: Fiscal Monitor

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2010

ISBN: 9781455280490

Keywords: net debt, public debt, fiscal adjustment, government debt, debt ratios

With increasing fiscal challenges in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, multilateral surveillance of fiscal developments, a key part of the IMF's surveillance responsibilities, has gained further importa...

A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks

A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks »

Source: A New Heuristic Measure of Fragility and Tail Risks : Application to Stress Testing

Volume/Issue: 2012/216

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Schmieder , Tidiane Kinda , Nassim Taleb , Elena Loukoianova , and Elie Canetti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505665

Keywords: Stability, debt dynamics, sovereign debt, net debt, banking,

This paper presents a simple heuristic measure of tail risk, which is applied to individual bank stress tests and to public debt. Stress testing can be seen as a first order test of the level of potential negative...