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Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan

Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan »

Source: Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan

Volume/Issue: 2019/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fei Han

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484396230

Keywords: Real interest rates, Negative interest rates, Interest rate policy, Economic growth, Interest rate increases, Demographic change;natural rate of interest;monetary policy;Japan;natural rate;Turunen;potential growth;Pescatori;real interest rate

Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-st...

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore »

Source: Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore

Volume/Issue: 2011/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Siang Tan , Joey Chew , and Sam Ouliaris

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455266425

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, consumer price index, output gap, monetary policy, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit, international Finance

This paper investigates exchange rate pass-through in Singapore using band-pass spectral regression techniques, allowing for asymmetric effects over the business cycle. First stage pass-through is estimated to be c...

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts »

Source: Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts

Volume/Issue: 2019/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Bluedorn , and Daniel Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498315692

Keywords: Human capital, Labor force, Labor force participation, Labor markets, Demand, Hysteresis, business cycles, monetary policy., forecaster, WEO

We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when emp...

IMF Executive Board Completes Second Review Under the Extended Fund Facility for Jordan

IMF Executive Board Completes Second Review Under the Extended Fund Facility for Jordan »

Source: Jordan : Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan

Volume/Issue: 2019/127

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498313841

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Unemployment, Public debt, Credit, Monetary policy, NEPCO, CBJ, Proj, overall balance, performance criterion

Since completion of the first review, Jordan has preserved macroeconomic stability in a most difficult environment. It has weathered a series of severe and highly persistent shocks, including regional conflicts, do...

Jordan
			: Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan

Jordan : Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan »

Volume/Issue: 2019/127

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498313841.002

ISBN: 9781498313841

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Unemployment, Public debt, Credit, Monetary policy, NEPCO, CBJ, Proj, overall balance, performance criterion

Since completion of the first review, Jordan has preserved macroeconomic stability in a most difficult environment. It has weathered a series of severe and highly persistent shocks, including regional conflicts, do...

Thailand
			: Selected Issues

Thailand : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2008/194

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 June 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451836851.002

ISBN: 9781451836851

Keywords: exchange rate, output gap, monetary policy, interest rates, interest rate

To estimate the New Keynesian model, we use four key macroeconomic series for Thailand. The priors are chosen to reflect general considerations of the appropriate model dynamics and our judgment about the Thai econ...

Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan

Demographics and the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan »

Volume/Issue: 2019/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fei Han

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484396230.001

ISBN: 9781484396230

Keywords: Real interest rates, Negative interest rates, Interest rate policy, Economic growth, Interest rate increases, Demographic change;natural rate of interest;monetary policy;Japan;natural rate;Turunen;potential growth;Pescatori;real interest rate

Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-st...

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts

Hysteresis in Labor Markets? Evidence from Professional Long-Term Forecasts »

Volume/Issue: 2019/114

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Bluedorn , and Daniel Leigh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498315692.001

ISBN: 9781498315692

Keywords: Human capital, Labor force, Labor force participation, Labor markets, Demand, Hysteresis, business cycles, monetary policy., forecaster, WEO

We explore the long-term impact of economic booms on labor market outcomes using a novel approach based on revisions to professional forecasts over the past 30 years for 34 advanced economies. We find that when emp...

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore »

Volume/Issue: 2011/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Siang Tan , Joey Chew , and Sam Ouliaris

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455266425.001

ISBN: 9781455266425

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, consumer price index, output gap, monetary policy, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit, international Finance

This paper investigates exchange rate pass-through in Singapore using band-pass spectral regression techniques, allowing for asymmetric effects over the business cycle. First stage pass-through is estimated to be c...

Jordan: Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan

Jordan: Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan »

Source: Jordan : Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, an Extension of the Arrangement, and Rephasing of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Jordan

Volume/Issue: 2019/127

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 May 2019

ISBN: 9781498313841

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Unemployment, Public debt, Credit, Monetary policy, NEPCO, CBJ, Proj, overall balance, performance criterion

Since completion of the first review, Jordan has preserved macroeconomic stability in a most difficult environment. It has weathered a series of severe and highly persistent shocks, including regional conflicts, do...