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Bayesian Vars

Bayesian Vars »

Source: Bayesian Vars : A Survey of the Recent Literature with An Application to the European Monetary System

Volume/Issue: 2003/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

ISBN: 9781451852639

Keywords: Bayesian VAR, Gibbs sampling, Time- Varying Reaction Function, EMS, forecasting, equation, monetary policy, outliers, covariance, Bayesian Analysis

This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs). After describing the Bayesian principle of estimation, we first present the methodology origi...

Dealing with High Debt in an Era of Low Growth

Dealing with High Debt in an Era of Low Growth »

Source: Dealing with High Debt in an Era of Low Growth

Volume/Issue: 2013/7

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): S. M. Ali Abbas , Bernardin Akitoby , Jochen Andritzky , Helge Berger , Takuji Komatsuzaki , and Justin Tyson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 September 2013

ISBN: 9781484316139

Keywords: Debt strategy, Debt reduction, Developed countries, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, Monetary policy, Privatization, Public debt, General Government Debt, Public Debt Sustainability

task has become particularly challenging in European advanced economies where expectations of low growth and limits to monetary policy support are shifting the burden of adjustment onto fiscal consolidation. The SD...

1. Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence

1. Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe : Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

ISBN: 9781484375402

Keywords: Europe, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, financial conditions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, emerging Europe, advanced Europe

Activity continued to expand in the first half of 2018, but at a slower-than-expected pace, mainly in advanced Europe. The external environment has become less supportive, with slow...

Executive Summary

Executive Summary »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Europe : Domestic Expansion Running into External Turbulence

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

ISBN: 9781484375402

Keywords: Europe, Regional Economic Outlook, economic outlook, financial conditions, fiscal policy, monetary policy, emerging Europe, advanced Europe

Economic activity continued to expand in the first half of 2018, albeit at a slower-than-expected pace, mainly in advanced Europe. Domestic demand, supported by stronger employment...

Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area »

Source: Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2013/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Al-Eyd , and Pelin Berkmen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2013

ISBN: 9781484328750

Keywords: fragmentation, interest, markets, lending, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

The ECB has taken a range of actions to address bank funding problems, eliminate excessive risk in sovereign markets, and safeguard monetary transmission. But euro area financial markets have remained fragmented, d...

Dealing with High Debt in an Era of Low Growth

Dealing with High Debt in an Era of Low Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2013/7

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): S. M. Ali Abbas , Bernardin Akitoby , Jochen Andritzky , Helge Berger , Takuji Komatsuzaki , and Justin Tyson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 September 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484316139.006

ISBN: 9781484316139

Keywords: Debt strategy, Debt reduction, Developed countries, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, Monetary policy, Privatization, Public debt, General Government Debt, Public Debt Sustainability

task has become particularly challenging in European advanced economies where expectations of low growth and limits to monetary policy support are shifting the burden of adjustment onto fiscal consolidation. The SD...

Wage Moderation in Crises
			: Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area

Wage Moderation in Crises : Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2015/22

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Jörg Decressin , Raphael Espinoza , Ioannis Halikias , Michael Kumhof , Daniel Leigh , Prakash Loungani , Paulo Medas , Susanna Mursula , Antonio Spilimbergo , and TengTeng Xu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513537009.006

ISBN: 9781513537009

Keywords: Wage bargaining, Euro Area, Wage adjustments, Negative spillovers, Monetary policy, Euro area, Crisis, Current account, Internal devaluation, Unemployment

The paper studies the impacts of wage moderation in the euro area. Simulation results show that if a single euro area crisis-hit economy undertakes wage moderation, the impact on output is positive for that economy...

Bayesian Vars
			: A Survey of the Recent Literature with An Application to the European Monetary System

Bayesian Vars : A Survey of the Recent Literature with An Application to the European Monetary System »

Volume/Issue: 2003/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852639.001

ISBN: 9781451852639

Keywords: Bayesian VAR, Gibbs sampling, Time- Varying Reaction Function, EMS, forecasting, equation, monetary policy, outliers, covariance, Bayesian Analysis

This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs). After describing the Bayesian principle of estimation, we first present the methodology origi...

Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area

Fragmentation and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2013/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ali Al-Eyd , and Pelin Berkmen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484328750.001

ISBN: 9781484328750

Keywords: fragmentation, interest, markets, lending, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

The ECB has taken a range of actions to address bank funding problems, eliminate excessive risk in sovereign markets, and safeguard monetary transmission. But euro area financial markets have remained fragmented, d...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy
			: Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time? »

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847529.001

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...