Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Atish Ghosh , Juan Zalduendo , Manuela Goretti , Bikas Joshi , and Alun Thomas
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 March 2007
Keywords: prediction, IMF lending capacity, IMF income position, probability, time series, external debt, imf credit outstanding, balance of payments, Global Outlook, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time serie...