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Chapter I: Introduction

Chapter I: Introduction »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

The Kingdom of Swaziland (hereinafter “Swaziland”) is a small, open economy bordering Mozambique and South Africa with a population of 1.1 million people. It is a landlocked country with an economy heavily d...

Chapter II: Swaziland’s Interconnection with the Global Economy

Chapter II: Swaziland’s Interconnection with the Global Economy »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

Swaziland is highly interconnected with South Africa and with the global economy. As the global economy faces higher risks of adverse shocks, Swaziland may be affected by spillover effects. These shocks woul...

Chapter III: Swaziland’s External Vulnerabilities: The Fiscal Origin

Chapter III: Swaziland’s External Vulnerabilities: The Fiscal Origin »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

A. Swaziland’s Fiscal Position Remains Vulnerable and Inadequate to Reduce Poverty The fiscal position has improved owing to the windfall transfer from SACU for fiscal year 2012/13 (...

Chapter IV: Risks from Financial Sector Vulnerabilities

Chapter IV: Risks from Financial Sector Vulnerabilities »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

A. Risks Stemming from Vulnerabilities in the Banking Sector All commercial banks are well capitalized and have maintained strong risk-adjusted capital adequacy ratios (CAR) over the...

Chapter V: Restoring the Future of the Swaziland Economy

Chapter V: Restoring the Future of the Swaziland Economy »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

The current economic policy stance in Swaziland is unsustainable over the medium term. On current trends, the fiscal position is likely to deteriorate further, reflecting uncontrolled spending coupled with a...

Chapter VI: Conclusions

Chapter VI: Conclusions »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

Overall, the immediate risks have shifted somewhat during the last 12 months, from a pure fiscal crisis, to more pressing vulnerabilities on Swaziland’s external position and financial sector. However, the p...

Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities Stemming from the Global Economic Crisis: The Case of Swaziland

Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities Stemming from the Global Economic Crisis: The Case of Swaziland »

Volume: 11

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , Chikako Baba , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475510164.087

ISBN: 9781475510164

Keywords: Exchange rate assessments, External debt, Financial sector, Debt sustainability, Bank supervision, Public debt, Reserves adequacy

Swaziland has faced a significant fiscal crisis since 2010, in the wake of loss of transfers from the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The fiscal crisis has led to increasing vulnerabilities, not only of publ...

Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment
			: Options for Swaziland

Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland »

Volume: 13

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475589412.087

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

The Kingdom of Swaziland (hereinafter “Swaziland”) is a small, open economy bordering Mozambique and South Africa with a population of 1.1 million people. It is a landlocked country with an economy he...

I. Introduction

I. Introduction »

Source: Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities Stemming from the Global Economic Crisis: The Case of Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , Chikako Baba , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2011

ISBN: 9781475510164

Keywords: Exchange rate assessments, External debt, Financial sector, Debt sustainability, Bank supervision, Public debt, Reserves adequacy

The Kingdom of Swaziland (thereafter Swaziland) is a small open economy bordering Mozambique and South Africa. It is a landlocked country with a small open economy heavily dependent on sugar exports and tour...

II. Swaziland: Debt Sustainability Analysis

II. Swaziland: Debt Sustainability Analysis »

Source: Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities Stemming from the Global Economic Crisis: The Case of Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , Chikako Baba , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2011

ISBN: 9781475510164

Keywords: Exchange rate assessments, External debt, Financial sector, Debt sustainability, Bank supervision, Public debt, Reserves adequacy

The level of government debt in Swaziland is moderate, albeit rapidly increasing. Total public debt rose from 12½ percent of GDP in 2009/10 to 16 percent of GDP (excluding arrears) and 20½ percent of GDP (in...