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Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance

Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance »

Source: Absorption Boom and Fiscal Stance : What Lies Ahead in Eastern Europe?

Volume/Issue: 2010/97

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jesmin Rahman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

ISBN: 9781451982749

Keywords: Pro-cyclicality, cyclically-adjusted fiscal balance, expenditure, capital expenditure, social expenditure, National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General, National Budget, Deficit, and Debt: General,

This paper estimates revenue and expenditure pro-cyclicality with respect to output and domestic absorption in new member states of the European Union and Croatia to assess whether these countries used the boom yea...

Adjustment Uncertainty, Confidence, and Growth

Adjustment Uncertainty, Confidence, and Growth »

Source: Adjustment Uncertainty, Confidence, and Growth : Latin America After the Debt Crisis

Volume/Issue: 1989/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 December 1989

ISBN: 9781451947359

Keywords: inflation, fiscal adjustment, real wages, public debt, relative prices

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

Amortization Requirements May Increase Household Debt

Amortization Requirements May Increase Household Debt »

Source: Amortization Requirements May Increase Household Debt : A Simple Example

Volume/Issue: 2016/83

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lars Svensson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 April 2016

ISBN: 9781484321843

Keywords: Amortization, household debt, mortgages, refinancing, macroprudential policy.

Debt amortization requirements have been suggested as a way to reduce household indebtedness. However, a closer look reveals that amortization requirements may create incentives for both borrowers and lenders to bo...

An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries

An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries »

Source: An Application of the "Fan-Chart Approach" to Debt Sustainability in Post-HIPC Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2014/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Maximilien Kaffo Melou , Mariusz Sumlinski , and Chris Geiregat

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 June 2014

ISBN: 9781498345033

Keywords: HIPC, MDRI, fan chart, debt sustainablity, debt relief, debt sustainability, debt accumulation, debt dynamics, Deficit, International Lending and Debt Problems

We analyse the debt dynamics in countries that benefited from the HIPC/MDRI debt relief initiatives with a view to applying a probabilistic approach to estimating future debt paths for those countries. We extend t...

Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past?

Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past? »

Source: Arrears to the IMF - A Ghost of the Past?

Volume/Issue: 2016/225

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anne Oeking , and Mariusz Sumlinski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475554823

Keywords: International Monetary Fund, External debt, Arrears, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems

In this paper, we consider incidences of arrears to the IMF, focusing on protracted arrears cases and attempt to identify determinants of their occurrence. We use narrative and formal methods. In addition, we analy...

Aspects of Fiscal Performance in Some Transition Economies Under Fund-Supported Programs

Aspects of Fiscal Performance in Some Transition Economies Under Fund-Supported Programs »

Source: Aspects of Fiscal Performance in Some Transition Economies Under Fund-Supported Programs

Volume/Issue: 1997/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Willem Buiter

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1997

ISBN: 9781451980073

Keywords: debt, interest, public debt, deficits, fiscal deficits

Key medium– and longer–term fiscal issues faced by transition economies are reviewed, including government solvency and the sustainability of the fiscal–financial–monetary program. The p...

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods »

Source: Assessing Debt Sustainability in Emerging Market Economies Using Stochastic Simulation Methods

Volume/Issue: 2005/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Philippe Karam , and Douglas Hostland

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2005

ISBN: 9781451862454

Keywords: risk measures, fiscal rule, public debt, external debt, debt burden, current account, primary fiscal balance, Simulation Methods, National Deficit Surplus,

This paper applies stochastic simulation methods to assess debt sustainability in emerging market economies and provide probability measures for projections of the external and public debt burden over the medium te...

Assessing Fiscal Stress

Assessing Fiscal Stress »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Stress

Volume/Issue: 2011/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gabriela Dobrescu , Iva Petrova , Nazim Belhocine , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455254316

Keywords: fiscal stress, fiscal vulnerability, public debt crises, sovereign default, public debt, fiscal indicators, fiscal crisis, fiscal variables, National Deficit Surplus, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of fiscal sustainability problems for advanced and emerging economies. Unlike previous studies, the index assesses the determinants of fiscal str...

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Sustainability : A Cross-Country Comparison

Volume/Issue: 2003/145

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Enzo Croce , and V. Juan-Ramon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2003

ISBN: 9781451856569

Keywords: convergence, fiscal rule, public debt, debt ratio, fiscal stance, National Government Expenditures and Related Policies, National Budget, Deficit, and Debt,

To monitor fiscal sustainability, this paper proposes a recursive algorithm derived from the law of motion of the debt-to-GDP ratio, subject to a government reaction function that links convergence to the targeted...

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice1

Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice1 »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice

Volume/Issue: 2000/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nigel Chalk , and Richard Hemming

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2000

ISBN: 9781451850352

Keywords: Government deficits and debt, present value budget constraint, sustainability indicators, fiscal sustainability, debt ratio, budget constraint, primary deficit

The main purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of approaches to assessing fiscal sustainability. It summarizes the general analytical background, focusing on the present value budget constraint, which is...