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The Adjustment to Commodity Price Shocks in Chile, Colombia, and Peru

The Adjustment to Commodity Price Shocks in Chile, Colombia, and Peru »

Source: The Adjustment to Commodity Price Shocks in Chile, Colombia, and Peru

Volume/Issue: 2017/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francisco Roch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 September 2017

ISBN: 9781484320648

Keywords: Western Hemisphere, Peru, Chile, Colombia, JEL Classification Numbers: E62, F14, H50, O13 Commodity Prices, Fiscal Policy, Flexible Exchange Rates

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the macroeconomic adjustment in Chile, Colombia, and Peru to commodity terms-of-trade shocks. The study is done in two steps: (i) an analysis of the impulse responses o...

After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

After the Boom–Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean »

Source: After the Boom-Commodity Prices and Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2014/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bertrand Gruss

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 August 2014

ISBN: 9781498363518

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), commodity prices, output growth, Latin America, commodity exporters, exporters, commodity exports, Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Economic Growth of Open Economies

After skyrocketing over the past decade, commodity prices have remained stable or eased somewhat since mid-2011-and most projections suggest they are not likely to resume the upward trend observed in the last decad...

Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices

Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices »

Source: Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices

Volume/Issue: 1999/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. McDermott , Paul Cashin , and Alasdair Scott

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1999

ISBN: 9781451857290

Keywords: Commodity prices, booms and slumps, cycles, duration, amplitude., london metal exchange, oil prices, commodity markets, import price

This paper examines the duration and magnitude of commodity-price cycles. It finds that for most commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger...

BRICs’ Philosophies for Development Financing and their Implications for LICs

BRICs’ Philosophies for Development Financing and their Implications for LICs »

Source: BRICs' Philosophies for Development Financing and their Implications for LICs

Volume/Issue: 2012/74

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yongzheng Yang , and Nkunde Mwase

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

ISBN: 9781475502268

Keywords: BRICs, Russia, Institutions, LICs, development financing, debt sustainability, debt relief, public investment, commodity prices, History Of Thought: - Individuals

Flows of development financing from the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) to low income countries (LICs) have surged in recent years. Unlike aid from traditional donors, BRICs (excluding Russia) view their f...

Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles »

Source: Commodity Currencies and Empirical Exchange Rate Puzzles

Volume/Issue: 2002/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kenneth Rogoff , and Yu-chin Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451844535

Keywords: Exchange rate, commodity price stocks, real exchange rate, commodity prices, exchange rates, real exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper re-examines empirical exchange rate puzzles by focusing on three OECD economies (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) where primary commodities constitute a significant share of their exports. For Austral...

Commodity Markets and the International Transmission of Fiscal Shocks

Commodity Markets and the International Transmission of Fiscal Shocks »

Source: Commodity Markets and the International Transmission of Fiscal Shocks

Volume/Issue: 1988/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 1988

ISBN: 9781451947724

Keywords: exchange rate, terms of trade, real exchange rate, commodity exporters, commodity prices

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

Commodity Price Cycles

Commodity Price Cycles »

Source: Commodity Price Cycles : The Perils of Mismanaging the Boom

Volume/Issue: 2011/283

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Sosa , and Gustavo Adler

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463926649

Keywords: Commodity prices, terms of trade, economic policies, commodity exports, trade shocks, terms of trade shocks, Commodity Price Cycles,

Commodity-exporting countries have significantly benefited from the commodity price boom of recent years. At the current juncture, however, uncertain global economic prospects have raised questions about their vuln...

Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises1

Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises1 »

Source: Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises

Volume/Issue: 2018/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Markus Eberhardt , and Andrea Presbitero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 July 2018

ISBN: 9781484366776

Keywords: Banking crisis, Commodity prices, Banking crisis; Commodity prices; Early warning system; Low-income countries, Early warning system, Low-income countries, International Lending and Debt Problems, International Lending and Debt Problems

We develop an empirical model to predict banking crises in a sample of 60 low-income countries (LICs) over the 1981-2015 period. Given the recent emergence of financial sector stress associated with low commodity p...

Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility

Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility »

Source: Commodity Price Shocks and Financial Sector Fragility

Volume/Issue: 2016/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tidiane Kinda , Montfort Mlachila , and Rasmané Ouedraogo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2016

ISBN: 9781498328722

Keywords: financial sector fragility, commodity, price, commodity price, prices, financial sector, General, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Government Policy and Regulation, All Countries

This paper investigates the impact of commodity price shocks on financial sector fragility. Using a large sample of 71 commodity exporters among emerging and developing economies, it shows that negative shocks to c...

Commodity Prices

Commodity Prices »

Source: Commodity Prices : Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?

Volume/Issue: 1994/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Peter Wickham , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

ISBN: 9781451842371

Keywords: commodity prices, export earnings, hedging, terms of trade, commodity agreements

Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed...