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Anticipating the Next Crisis: What can early warning systems be expected to deliver?

Anticipating the Next Crisis: What can early warning systems be expected to deliver? »

Source: Finance & Development, September 2009

Volume/Issue: 46/3

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451953756

Keywords: low-income countries, monetary policy, international monetary fund, sustained growth

Recovery from the deepest recession in 60 years has started. But sustaining it will require delicate rebalancing acts, both within and across countries. IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard writes in our lead arti...

Back to Basics: What Is Monetary Policy?

Back to Basics: What Is Monetary Policy? »

Source: Finance & Development, September 2009

Volume/Issue: 46/3

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451953756

Keywords: low-income countries, monetary policy, international monetary fund, sustained growth

Recovery from the deepest recession in 60 years has started. But sustaining it will require delicate rebalancing acts, both within and across countries. IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard writes in our lead arti...

Book Reviews

Book Reviews »

Source: Finance & Development, September 2009

Volume/Issue: 46/3

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451953756

Keywords: low-income countries, monetary policy, international monetary fund, sustained growth

Recovery from the deepest recession in 60 years has started. But sustaining it will require delicate rebalancing acts, both within and across countries. IMF chief economist Olivier Blanchard writes in our lead arti...

CHAPTER 3 Academics

CHAPTER 3 Academics »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

Theoretical models used by academics specializing in social sciences and other sciences exhibit at least two features that are rarely found in the real world: they are simple and perfectly consistent. There...

CHAPTER 7 Conclusion

CHAPTER 7 Conclusion »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

If we had to use just one word to characterize the period 2000—07, that word would be “illusion.” In academia, the illusion of knowledge; in the private sector, the illusion of limitless growth; in the publi...

CHAPTER 1 Introduction

CHAPTER 1 Introduction »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

In one of his short stories, 1 William Faulkner presents an eccentric maiden lady living in a town in the south of the United States, completely withdrawn from a world that has ch...

CHAPTER 2 Perceptions

CHAPTER 2 Perceptions »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

For several decades now, researchers have shown an interest in studying biases that affect the perception of events by economic and other actors. Without pretending to survey the entire field of literature o...

CHAPTER 5 The Authorities

CHAPTER 5 The Authorities »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

As already noted, the crisis broke out to the obvious surprise of almost everyone, including governments, and the hasty debate over the solution for dealing with the crisis quickly revealed internal tensions...

CHAPTER 4 The Private Sector

CHAPTER 4 The Private Sector »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

The world of finance has witnessed the most flagrant abuses, and therefore we will use it to illustrate our argument. It is clear that the private sector has suffered greatly from “denial of reality,” for ex...

CHAPTER 6 The Public at Large

CHAPTER 6 The Public at Large »

Source: The Crisis and Miss Emily's Perceptions

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , and Pierre Nicolas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 November 2010

ISBN: 9781462327331

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, paper, monetary policy, probability, scientists, financial sector

The collective uproar asserting that the public is the principal victim of the seamy financial machinations of traders and corrupt CEOs (who continue to profit from the system), is virtually unanimous. As th...