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  • Keywords: Monetary Policy (Targets x
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Big Players Out of Synch

Big Players Out of Synch »

Source: Big Players Out of Synch : Spillovers Implications of US and Euro Area Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2015/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carolina Osorio Buitron , and Esteban Vesperoni

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513558448

Keywords: Economic News, Emerging Economies, economies, monetary conditions, money, advanced economies, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Forecasting and Simulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets

Given the prospects of asynchronous monetary conditions in the United States and the euro area, this paper analyzes spillovers among these two economies, as well as the implications of asynchronicity for spillovers...

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers1

Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers1 »

Source: Financial Crisis, US Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 2015/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Qianying Chen , Andrew Filardo , Dong He , and Feng Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475520668

Keywords: emerging economies, global VAR, international monetary policy spillovers, quantitative easing, unconventional monetary policy, federal reserve, securities, reserve, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets

We study the impact of the US quantitative easing (QE) on both the emerging and advanced economies, estimating a global vector error-correction model (GVECM) and conducting counterfactual analyses. We focus on the...

Financial Frictions in Data

Financial Frictions in Data »

Source: Financial Frictions in Data : Evidence and Impact

Volume/Issue: 2014/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 December 2014

ISBN: 9781484336557

Keywords: Financial Frictions, Bayesian VAR, External Financing Premium, Default risk, Financial shocks, Generalized IRF, DSGE, default, credit spread, maturity

This paper investigates financial frictions in US postwar data to understand the interaction between the real business cycle and the credit market. A Bayesian estimation technique is used to estimate a large Vector...

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM »

Source: The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM

Volume/Issue: 2015/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Patrick Blagrave , Pedro Espaillat , Keiko Honjo , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , René Lalonde , Douglas Laxton , Eleonara Mavroeidi , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

ISBN: 9781475518665

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, macroeconomic interdependence, consumption, investment, demand, trade, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structur...

The Game of Anchors

The Game of Anchors »

Source: The Game of Anchors : Studying the Causes of Currency Crises in Belarus

Volume/Issue: 2015/281

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alex Miksjuk , Sam Ouliaris , and Mikhail Pranovich

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 December 2015

ISBN: 9781498342728

Keywords: currency crisis, exchange rate policies, currency, exchange rate, monetary policy, currency crises, economy, Time-Series Models, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Belarus experienced a sequence of currency crises during 2009-2014. Our empirical results, based on a structural econometric model, suggest that the activist wage policy and extensive state program lending (SPL) co...

Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation

Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation »

Source: Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation : Some Cross-Country Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2015/133

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Prakash Loungani , John Simon , and Susan Wachter

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513542973

Keywords: pass-through, food, economies, food price, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper provides a broad brush look at the impact of fluctuations in global food prices on domestic inflation in a large group of countries. For advanced economies, we find that these fluctuations have played a...

GPM6

GPM6 »

Source: GPM6 : The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions

Volume/Issue: 2013/87

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioan Carabenciov , Charles Freedman , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Ondra Kamenik , and Petar Manchev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484318942

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economist...

If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows

If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows »

Source: If the Fed Acts, How Do You React? The Liftoff Effect on Capital Flows

Volume/Issue: 2015/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 December 2015

ISBN: 9781498367196

Keywords: Fed liftoffs, policy responses, policy framework, emerging market economies, interest, market, portfolio, interest rate, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

After more than six years of ultra-low interest rates, a Fed liftoff (rate hike) is just a matter of time. This paper goes back to history to understand the spillover effect - or what is termed in the paper as the...

Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies
			: Fiscal Costs, Gains, and Support

Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies : Fiscal Costs, Gains, and Support »

Volume/Issue: 2017/3

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Angana Banerji , Valerio Crispolti , Era Dabla-Norris , Romain Duval , Christian Ebeke , Davide Furceri , Takuji Komatsuzaki , and Tigran Poghosyan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 March 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475583977.006

ISBN: 9781475583977

Keywords: Business cycles, Developed countries, Employment, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, Labor market reforms, Legislation, Fiscal Policy; Structural Reforms; Public Debt; Labor Market; Product Market; Deregulation; Employment Protection; Unemployment Benefits; Labor Tax; Active Labor Market Policy, Structural Reforms, Public Debt

Product and labor market reforms are needed to lift persistently sluggish growth in advanced economies. But reforms have progressed slowly because of concerns about their distributive and short-term economic effect...

Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained
			: A Comprehensive, Consistent and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy

Macroeconomic Management When Policy Space is Constrained : A Comprehensive, Consistent and Coordinated Approach to Economic Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2016/9

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Vitor Gaspar , Maurice Obstfeld , Ratna Sahay , Douglas Laxton , Dennis Botman , Kevin Clinton , Romain Duval , Kotaro Ishi , Zoltan Jakab , Laura Jaramillo , Constant Lonkeng Ngouana , Tommaso Mancini Griffoli , Joannes Mongardini , Susanna Mursula , Erlend Nier , Yulia Ustyugova , Hou Wang , and Oliver Wuensch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475537543.006

ISBN: 9781475537543

Keywords: Banks, Canada, Developed countries, Economic policy, Fiscal policy, Financial sector, Fiscal reforms, Incomes policy, Japan, Monetary policy

The recovery in GDP growth since the global financial crisis has been halting and weak. Concern is widespread that countercyclical policies have run out of space or lack the power to raise growth or deal with the n...