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How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

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How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? »

Source: How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

Volume/Issue: 2019/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alvar Kangur , Koralai Kirabaeva , Jean-Marc Natal , and Simon Voigts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513512549

Keywords: Real interest rates, Economic theory, Potential output, Structural fiscal balance, Capacity utilization, Business Cycles, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, WP, output gap

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw ec...

How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

New
How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alvar Kangur , Koralai Kirabaeva , Jean-Marc Natal , and Simon Voigts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512549.001

ISBN: 9781513512549

Keywords: Real interest rates, Economic theory, Potential output, Structural fiscal balance, Capacity utilization, Business Cycles, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, WP, output gap

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw ec...

France: 2019 Article IV Consultation—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

France: 2019 Article IV Consultation—Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France »

Source: France : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

Volume/Issue: 2019/245

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2019

ISBN: 9781513508450

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic indicators, Financial and Monetary Sector, Financial systems, Balance of payments, percent, trade tension, GDP, euro area, percent of GDP

Growth slowed last year as the cyclical recovery ran its course and temporary domestic factors, coupled with slowing global growth, weighed on demand. Nonetheless, activity remained resilient relative to peers, and...

France: Staff Report for the 2019 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex

France: Staff Report for the 2019 Article IV Consultation—Informational Annex »

Source: France : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

Volume/Issue: 2019/245

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2019

ISBN: 9781513508450

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic indicators, Financial and Monetary Sector, Financial systems, Balance of payments, percent, trade tension, GDP, euro area, percent of GDP

Growth slowed last year as the cyclical recovery ran its course and temporary domestic factors, coupled with slowing global growth, weighed on demand. Nonetheless, activity remained resilient relative to peers, and...

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with France

IMF Executive Board Concludes 2019 Article IV Consultation with France »

Source: France : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

Volume/Issue: 2019/245

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2019

ISBN: 9781513508450

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic indicators, Financial and Monetary Sector, Financial systems, Balance of payments, percent, trade tension, GDP, euro area, percent of GDP

Growth slowed last year as the cyclical recovery ran its course and temporary domestic factors, coupled with slowing global growth, weighed on demand. Nonetheless, activity remained resilient relative to peers, and...

France
			: 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

France : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France »

Volume/Issue: 2019/245

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513508450.002

ISBN: 9781513508450

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic indicators, Financial and Monetary Sector, Financial systems, Balance of payments, percent, trade tension, GDP, euro area, percent of GDP

Growth slowed last year as the cyclical recovery ran its course and temporary domestic factors, coupled with slowing global growth, weighed on demand. Nonetheless, activity remained resilient relative to peers, and...

Statement by Hervé de Villeroché, Executive Director for France, Armel Castets, Alternate Executive Director, Magail Veronique Gilliot, Senior Advisor, and Arthur Sode, World Bank Advisor to Executive Director July 22, 2019

Statement by Hervé de Villeroché, Executive Director for France, Armel Castets, Alternate Executive Director, Magail Veronique Gilliot, Senior Advisor, and Arthur Sode, World Bank Advisor to Executive Director July 22, 2019 »

Source: France : 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for France

Volume/Issue: 2019/245

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 July 2019

ISBN: 9781513508450

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic indicators, Financial and Monetary Sector, Financial systems, Balance of payments, percent, trade tension, GDP, euro area, percent of GDP

Growth slowed last year as the cyclical recovery ran its course and temporary domestic factors, coupled with slowing global growth, weighed on demand. Nonetheless, activity remained resilient relative to peers, and...

Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area

Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2018/3

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Giovanni Dell'Ariccia , and Maurice Obstfeld

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 February 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484340424.087

ISBN: 9781484340424

Keywords: Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Monetary unions, Spain, Italy, Fiscal policy, France, Germany, Greece

The paper makes an analytical contribution to the revived discussion about the euro area's institutional setup. After significant progress during the euro crisis, the drive to complete Europe's Economic and Monetar...

Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area

Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area »

Source: Revisiting the Economic Case for Fiscal Union in the Euro Area

Volume/Issue: 2018/3

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Giovanni Dell'Ariccia , and Maurice Obstfeld

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 February 2018

ISBN: 9781484340424

Keywords: Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Monetary unions, Spain, Italy, Fiscal policy, France, Germany, Greece

The paper makes an analytical contribution to the revived discussion about the euro area's institutional setup. After significant progress during the euro crisis, the drive to complete Europe's Economic and Monetar...

Wage Moderation in Crises
			: Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area

Wage Moderation in Crises : Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area »

Volume/Issue: 2015/22

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Jörg Decressin , Raphael Espinoza , Ioannis Halikias , Michael Kumhof , Daniel Leigh , Prakash Loungani , Paulo Medas , Susanna Mursula , Antonio Spilimbergo , and TengTeng Xu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513537009.006

ISBN: 9781513537009

Keywords: Wage bargaining, Euro Area, Wage adjustments, Negative spillovers, Monetary policy, Euro area, Crisis, Current account, Internal devaluation, Unemployment

The paper studies the impacts of wage moderation in the euro area. Simulation results show that if a single euro area crisis-hit economy undertakes wage moderation, the impact on output is positive for that economy...