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Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Chudik , Kamiar Mohaddes , M. Pesaran , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513513355.001

ISBN: 9781513513355

Keywords: Panel tests of threshold effects, long-run relationships, estimation and inference, large dynamic heterogeneous panels, cross-section dependence, and inflation, variables, gdp, cd, inflation

This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and e...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870244.001

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation »

Source: The Information Content of Money in Forecasting Euro Area Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2008/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emil Stavrev , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870244

Keywords: Information content of money, inflation forecasting, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, general dynamic factor model, Bayesian estimation, aggregate demand

This paper contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analyzing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among...

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?1

Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?1 »

Source: Is There a Debt-threshold Effect on Output Growth?

Volume/Issue: 2015/197

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alexander Chudik , Kamiar Mohaddes , M. Pesaran , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513513355

Keywords: Panel tests of threshold effects, long-run relationships, estimation and inference, large dynamic heterogeneous panels, cross-section dependence, and inflation, variables, gdp, cd, inflation

This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and e...