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Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output

Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output »

Source: Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output : Further International Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2002/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francisco Nadal De Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

ISBN: 9781451875485

Keywords: common, European and idiosyncratic components, state-space Models, statistics, correlation, time series, statistic, Model Construction and Estimation, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, t...

Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output
			: Further International Evidence

Common and Idiosyncratic Components in Real Output : Further International Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2002/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francisco Nadal De Simone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875485.001

ISBN: 9781451875485

Keywords: common, European and idiosyncratic components, state-space Models, statistics, correlation, time series, statistic, Model Construction and Estimation, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper uses the classical (level) definition of business cycles to analyze the characteristics-duration, amplitude, steepness, and cumulative output movements-of the real GDP series of France, Germany, Italy, t...

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR »

Volume/Issue: 2013/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dale Gray

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484322185.001

ISBN: 9781484322185

Keywords: contingent claims analysis (CCA), global vector autoregression (GVAR), banking, banking systems, banking system, sovereign risk, Model Construction and Estimation,

The purpose of this paper is to develop a model framework for the analysis of interactions between banking sector risk, sovereign risk, corporate sector risk, real economic activity, and credit growth for 15 Europe...

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts' »

Volume/Issue: 2015/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Dowling , Sergi Lanau , Mico Mrkaic , Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513503271.001

ISBN: 9781513503271

Keywords: Output gap, variables, gdp, demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Model Construction and Estimation, Estimation, All Countries,

Potential output-in the sense of the GDP level or path an economy can sustain over the medium term-is a crucial benchmark for policymakers. However, it is difficult to estimate when financial 'booms and busts' are...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy
			: Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time? »

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847529.001

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe
			: The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe : The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece »

Volume/Issue: 2014/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo , and Christian Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484368190.001

ISBN: 9781484368190

Keywords: Volatility, Contagion, Credit Default Swaps, financial crisis, financial markets, Time-Series Models, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Asset Pricing,

This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyse...

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR »

Source: Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR

Volume/Issue: 2013/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dale Gray

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2013

ISBN: 9781484322185

Keywords: contingent claims analysis (CCA), global vector autoregression (GVAR), banking, banking systems, banking system, sovereign risk, Model Construction and Estimation,

The purpose of this paper is to develop a model framework for the analysis of interactions between banking sector risk, sovereign risk, corporate sector risk, real economic activity, and credit growth for 15 Europe...

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts' »

Source: Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Volume/Issue: 2015/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Dowling , Sergi Lanau , Mico Mrkaic , Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513503271

Keywords: Output gap, variables, gdp, demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Model Construction and Estimation, Estimation, All Countries,

Potential output-in the sense of the GDP level or path an economy can sustain over the medium term-is a crucial benchmark for policymakers. However, it is difficult to estimate when financial 'booms and busts' are...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy »

Source: The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe »

Source: Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe : The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece

Volume/Issue: 2014/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo , and Christian Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 May 2014

ISBN: 9781484368190

Keywords: Volatility, Contagion, Credit Default Swaps, financial crisis, financial markets, Time-Series Models, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Asset Pricing,

This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyse...