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Financial Factors

Financial Factors »

Source: Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...

Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery

Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery »

Source: Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery

Volume/Issue: 2015/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Moussé Sow , and Ivohasina Razafimahefa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 March 2015

ISBN: 9781484351116

Keywords: Decentralization, efficiency, stochastic frontier analysis, fiscal decentralization, public expenditure, expenditure, Methodological Issues: General, Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation, General, Intergovernmental Relations,

This paper explores the impact of fiscal decentralization on the efficiency of public service delivery. It uses a stochastic frontier method to estimate time-varying efficiency coefficients and analyzes the impact...

Financial Factors
			: Implications for Output Gaps

Financial Factors : Implications for Output Gaps »

Volume/Issue: 2015/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512860.001

ISBN: 9781513512860

Keywords: Monetary Union, Output Gap, Financial Frictions, Bayesian Estimation, potential output, credit, costs, monetary policy, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets

We suggest a new approach for analyzing the role of financial variables and shocks in computing the output gap. We estimate a two-region DSGE model for the euro area, with financial frictions at the household level...

Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery

Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery »

Volume/Issue: 2015/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Moussé Sow , and Ivohasina Razafimahefa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484351116.001

ISBN: 9781484351116

Keywords: Decentralization, efficiency, stochastic frontier analysis, fiscal decentralization, public expenditure, expenditure, Methodological Issues: General, Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation, General, Intergovernmental Relations,

This paper explores the impact of fiscal decentralization on the efficiency of public service delivery. It uses a stochastic frontier method to estimate time-varying efficiency coefficients and analyzes the impact...

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR

Modeling Banking, Sovereign, and Macro Risk in a CCA Global VAR »

Volume/Issue: 2013/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dale Gray

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484322185.001

ISBN: 9781484322185

Keywords: contingent claims analysis (CCA), global vector autoregression (GVAR), banking, banking systems, banking system, sovereign risk, Model Construction and Estimation,

The purpose of this paper is to develop a model framework for the analysis of interactions between banking sector risk, sovereign risk, corporate sector risk, real economic activity, and credit growth for 15 Europe...

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the  World Economy
			: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2012/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504187.001

ISBN: 9781475504187

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian econometrics, inflation, domestic demand, terms of trade, price inflation

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a...

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts'

Steady as She Goes-Estimating Potential Output During Financial 'Booms and Busts' »

Volume/Issue: 2015/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Dowling , Sergi Lanau , Mico Mrkaic , Pau Rabanal , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513503271.001

ISBN: 9781513503271

Keywords: Output gap, variables, gdp, demand, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Model Construction and Estimation, Estimation, All Countries,

Potential output-in the sense of the GDP level or path an economy can sustain over the medium term-is a crucial benchmark for policymakers. However, it is difficult to estimate when financial 'booms and busts' are...

Systemic Risk Monitoring ("SysMo") Toolkit-A User Guide

Systemic Risk Monitoring ("SysMo") Toolkit-A User Guide »

Volume/Issue: 2013/168

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Blancher , Srobona Mitra , Hanan Morsy , Akira Otani , Tiago Severo , and Laura Valderrama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 July 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484383438.001

ISBN: 9781484383438

Keywords: Sytemic Risk, Risk Indicators, Risk Monitoring, banking, banking sector, banking system, sovereign risk, banking crisis, Other, Model Construction and Estimation,

There has recently been a proliferation of new quantitative tools as part of various initiatives to improve the monitoring of systemic risk. The "SysMo" project takes stock of the current toolkit used at the IMF fo...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy
			: Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time? »

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847529.001

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe
			: The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece

Transmission of Financial Stress in Europe : The Pivotal Role of Italy and Spain, but not Greece »

Volume/Issue: 2014/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo , and Christian Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484368190.001

ISBN: 9781484368190

Keywords: Volatility, Contagion, Credit Default Swaps, financial crisis, financial markets, Time-Series Models, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Asset Pricing,

This paper proposes a stochastic volatility model to measure sovereign financial distress. It examines how key European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads affect each other; specifically, the paper analyse...