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Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs1

Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs1 »

Source: Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs

Volume/Issue: 2008/53

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pär Österholm , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2008

ISBN: 9781451869156

Keywords: Bayesian VAR, Out-of-sample Forecasting, Granger Causality, money growth, monetary economics, central bank,

We use a mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR model as an out-of-sample forecasting tool to test whether money growth Granger-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up...

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited »

Source: The ECB's Monetary Analysis Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2008/171

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , Thomas Harjes , and Emil Stavrev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870299

Keywords: ECB, monetary analysis, monetary pillar, New Keynesian model, DSGE model, P* model, Two-pillar Phillips curve, VAR model, generalized dynamic factor model, inflation

Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exc...

Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement—Further Supplementary Information

Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement—Further Supplementary Information »

Source: Ireland : Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement; Staff Report; Staff Supplements; and Press Release on the Executive Board discussion

Volume/Issue: 2012/336

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475554564

Keywords: central bank, external debt, net debt, government debt, current account

The Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement discusses Ireland's fiscal policy, financial reforms, economic growth, and employment. The policy implementation of Ireland continued to remain strong, even though t...

Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement—Supplementary Information

Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement—Supplementary Information »

Source: Ireland : Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement; Staff Report; Staff Supplements; and Press Release on the Executive Board discussion

Volume/Issue: 2012/336

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475554564

Keywords: central bank, external debt, net debt, government debt, current account

The Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement discusses Ireland's fiscal policy, financial reforms, economic growth, and employment. The policy implementation of Ireland continued to remain strong, even though t...

Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy

Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy »

Source: Forecasting ECB Monetary Policy : Accuracy is (Still) a Matter of Geography

Volume/Issue: 2006/41

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Ehrmann , Marcel Fratzscher , and Helge Berger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2006

ISBN: 9781451863017

Keywords: ECB, forecast, geography, history, heterogeneity, Taylor rule, learning, transmission, survey data, communication

Monetary policy in the euro area is conducted within a multicountry, multicultural, and multilingual context involving multiple central banking traditions. How does this heterogeneity affect the ability of economic...

IMF Completes Eighth Review Under the Extended Fund Facility with Ireland and Approves €0.89 billion Disbursement

IMF Completes Eighth Review Under the Extended Fund Facility with Ireland and Approves €0.89 billion Disbursement »

Source: Ireland : Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement; Staff Report; Staff Supplements; and Press Release on the Executive Board discussion

Volume/Issue: 2012/336

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475554564

Keywords: central bank, external debt, net debt, government debt, current account

The Eighth Review Under the Extended Arrangement discusses Ireland's fiscal policy, financial reforms, economic growth, and employment. The policy implementation of Ireland continued to remain strong, even though t...

IMF Completes Fifth Review Under the Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €3.2 Billion Disbursement

IMF Completes Fifth Review Under the Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €3.2 Billion Disbursement »

Source: Ireland : Fifth Review Under the Extended Arrangement: Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion.

Volume/Issue: 2012/48

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2012

ISBN: 9781463935818

Keywords: central bank, external debt, government debt, fiscal consolidation, government deficit

The staff report for Ireland's fifth review under the Extended Arrangement states that financial sector reforms continued to advance, with the two structural benchmarks for end-2011 observed. In particular, target...

IMF Completes First and Second Reviews Under Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €1.58 Billion Disbursement

IMF Completes First and Second Reviews Under Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €1.58 Billion Disbursement »

Source: Ireland : First and Second Reviews Under the Extended Arrangement and Request for Rephasing of the Arrangement: Staff Report; Letter of Intent; Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies; Technical Memorandum of Understanding; Letter of Intent and Memorandum of Understanding on Specific Economic Policy Conditionality (College of Commissioners); Staff Supplement; and Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion.

Volume/Issue: 2011/109

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455290642

Keywords: banking, central bank, recapitalization, external debt, banking system

Ireland has made progress in overcoming the economic crisis. The new coalition government's strategy for restoring sustained growth, sound public finances, and job creation has been put forward in the context of th...

IMF Completes Fourth Review Under the Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €3.9 Billion Disbursement

IMF Completes Fourth Review Under the Extended Arrangement with Ireland and Approves €3.9 Billion Disbursement »

Source: Ireland : Fourth Review Under the Extended Arrangement and Request for Rephasing of the Arrangement: Staff Report; Letter of Intent; Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies; Technical Memorandum of Understanding; Letter of Intent and Memorandum of Understanding on Specific Economic Policy Conditionality (College of Commissioners); Staff Supplement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion.

Volume/Issue: 2011/356

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463929893

Keywords: central bank, banking, debt sustainability, external debt, government debt

The Irish authorities are adopting consolidation measures to meet the original fiscal targets as well as implementing structural reforms in the labor market and sheltered sectors to enhance competitiveness. Strengt...

IMF Completes Ninth Review Under the Extended Fund Facility with Ireland and Approves €0.97 Billion Disbursement

IMF Completes Ninth Review Under the Extended Fund Facility with Ireland and Approves €0.97 Billion Disbursement »

Source: Ireland : Ninth Review Under the Extended Arrangement

Volume/Issue: 2013/93

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484328958

Keywords: external debt, debt sustainability, central bank, current account, government debt

A positive financial market and real sector developments support Ireland's capacity to exit the EU-IMF supported program at year's end. But the underlying fiscal and financial situation is still difficult, and cont...