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Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession+

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession+ »

Source: Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession

Volume/Issue: 2019/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , and Max Gillman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2019

ISBN: 9781513518626

Keywords: Supply and demand, Oil prices, Real interest rates, Energy prices, Gold prices, Oil Price Shocks, Granger Predictability, Monetary Base, M1 Divisia, Swaps

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes st...

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession

Granger Predictability of Oil Prices After the Great Recession »

Volume/Issue: 2019/237

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Szilard Benk , and Max Gillman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513518626.001

ISBN: 9781513518626

Keywords: Supply and demand, Oil prices, Real interest rates, Energy prices, Gold prices, Oil Price Shocks, Granger Predictability, Monetary Base, M1 Divisia, Swaps

Real oil prices surged from 2009 through 2014, comparable to the 1970's oil shock period. Standard explanations based on monopoly markup fall short since inflation remained low after 2009. This paper contributes st...

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño*

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño* »

Source: Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño

Volume/Issue: 2015/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

ISBN: 9781475535495

Keywords: El Ni&;amp;#x00F1;o weather shocks, oil and non-fuel commodity prices, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, prices, inflation, variables, gdp, trade, Time-Series Models

This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the...

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño

Fair Weather or Foul? The Macroeconomic Effects of El Niño »

Volume/Issue: 2015/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475535495.001

ISBN: 9781475535495

Keywords: El Ni&;amp;#x00F1;o weather shocks, oil and non-fuel commodity prices, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, prices, inflation, variables, gdp, trade, Time-Series Models

This paper employs a dynamic multi-country framework to analyze the international macroeconomic transmission of El Niño weather shocks. This framework comprises 21 country/region-specific models, estimated over the...

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis1

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis1 »

Source: Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2012/174

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , Estelle Liu , and Jochen M. Schmittmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

ISBN: 9781475505221

Keywords: equity returns, sovereign debt crisis, regulatory capital, panel data econometrics, banking, tier 1 capital, bank bond, General Financial Markets,

This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk an...

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Equity Returns in the Banking Sector in the Wake of the Great Recession and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2012/174

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , Estelle Liu , and Jochen M. Schmittmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505221.001

ISBN: 9781475505221

Keywords: equity returns, sovereign debt crisis, regulatory capital, panel data econometrics, banking, tier 1 capital, bank bond, General Financial Markets,

This study finds that equity returns in the banking sector in the wake of the Great Recession and the European sovereign debt crisis have been driven mainly by weak growth prospects and heightened sovereign risk an...

Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis

Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis »

Source: Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis

Volume/Issue: 2009/207

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Laeven , and Harry Huizinga

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

ISBN: 9781451873542

Keywords: Key bank regulation, fair value accounting, corporate disclosure, real estate, real estate loans, tier 1 capital, bank assets, real estate loan,

This paper shows that banks use accounting discretion to overstate the value of distressed assets. Banks' balance sheets overvalue real estate-related assets compared to the market value of these assets, especially...

Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis

Accounting discretion of banks during a financial crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2009/207

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Laeven , and Harry Huizinga

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873542.001

ISBN: 9781451873542

Keywords: Key bank regulation, fair value accounting, corporate disclosure, real estate, real estate loans, tier 1 capital, bank assets, real estate loan,

This paper shows that banks use accounting discretion to overstate the value of distressed assets. Banks' balance sheets overvalue real estate-related assets compared to the market value of these assets, especially...

Recapitalizing Banks with Public Funds
			: Selected Issues

Recapitalizing Banks with Public Funds : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 1999/139

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451856026.001

ISBN: 9781451856026

Keywords: asset management companies, asset valuation, bank restructuring agencies, Tier 1 capital, Tier 2 capital, restructuring, debt, loans, recapitalization, debt restructuring

Recapitalizing banks in a systemic crisis is a complex medium-term process that requires significant government intervention and careful management at both the strategic and individual bank levels. This paper highl...

Recapitalizing Banks with Public Funds

Recapitalizing Banks with Public Funds »

Source: Recapitalizing Banks with Public Funds : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 1999/139

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451856026

Keywords: asset management companies, asset valuation, bank restructuring agencies, Tier 1 capital, Tier 2 capital, restructuring, debt, loans, recapitalization, debt restructuring

Recapitalizing banks in a systemic crisis is a complex medium-term process that requires significant government intervention and careful management at both the strategic and individual bank levels. This paper highl...