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Are Rating Agencies Powerful? An Investigation Into the Impact and Accuracy of Sovereign Ratings

Are Rating Agencies Powerful? An Investigation Into the Impact and Accuracy of Sovereign Ratings »

Source: Are Rating Agencies Powerful? An Investigation Into the Impact and Accuracy of Sovereign Ratings

Volume/Issue: 2012/23

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Kiff , Sylwia Nowak , and Liliana Schumacher

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931858

Keywords: Sovereign ratings, rating agencies, credit ratings, asian crisis, emerging markets, An Investigation into the Impact and Accuracy of Sovereign Ratings, Financial Institutions and Services: General, Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation,

We find that Credit Rating Agencies (CRA)'s opinions have an impact in the cost of funding of sovereign issuers and consequently ratings are a concern for financial stability. While ratings produced by the major CR...

Assessing and Managing Rapid Credit Growth and the Role of Supervisory and Prudential Policies

Assessing and Managing Rapid Credit Growth and the Role of Supervisory and Prudential Policies »

Source: Assessing and Managing Rapid Credit Growth and the Role of Supervisory and Prudential Policies

Volume/Issue: 2005/151

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ceyla Pazarbasioglu , Gudrun Johnsen , Paul Hilbers , and Inci Ötker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2005

ISBN: 9781451861709

Keywords: credit growth, supervisory and prudential policies, banking, foreign exchange, financial sector, bank credit, financial system, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

This paper reviews trends in bank lending to the private sector, with a particular focus on Central and Eastern European countries, and finds that rapid growth of private sector credit continues to be a key challen...

Bank Funding Structures and Risk

Bank Funding Structures and Risk »

Source: Bank Funding Structures and Risk : Evidence From the Global Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2012/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pablo Federico , and Francisco Vazquez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463933142

Keywords: pre-crisis, bank failure, bank liquidity, global financial crisis, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation, Bank Liquidity Creation, Basel Iii, Macro-prudential Regulations,

This paper analyzes the evolution of bank funding structures in the run up to the global financial crisis and studies the implications for financial stability, exploiting a bank-level dataset that covers about 11,0...

Bond Yields in Emerging Economies

Bond Yields in Emerging Economies »

Source: Bond Yields in Emerging Economies : It Matters What State You Are In

Volume/Issue: 2012/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Anke Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505481

Keywords: Emerging Market Economies, Fiscal Deficit, bond, bond yields, domestic bond, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing rele...

The Capital Markets of Emerging Europe

The Capital Markets of Emerging Europe »

Source: The Capital Markets of Emerging Europe : Institutions, Instruments and Investors

Volume/Issue: 2008/103

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Li Ong , and Silvia Iorgova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

ISBN: 9781451869644

Keywords: Benchmarks, corporate governance and transparency, derivatives, institutional investors, stock markets, bond, stock exchange, stock market, stock markets. exchange,

Emerging European countries have made large strides in developing their local capital markets since the early-1990s. However, the rate of development has been widely disparate across countries and market segments,...

Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Comparing Parametric and Non-parametric Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2013/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484300589

Keywords: emerging markets., foreign exchange reserves, exchange reserves, exchange rate

The purpose of this paper is to compare in-sample and out-of-sample performances of three parametric and non-parametric early warning systems (EWS) for currency crises in emerging market economies (EMs). The parame...

Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2014/65

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484355282

Keywords: out-of-sample performance, currency crisis, crisis episodes, global financial crisis, General, out-of-sample performance.,

We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place in 29...

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation »

Source: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Volume/Issue: 2010/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201891

Keywords: Consensus Forecasts, Information Aggregation, Forecast Efficiency, efficiency, forecast horizons, forecast errors, forecast horizon, forecast error, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cro...

The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies

The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies »

Source: The Cost of Aggressive Sovereign Debt Policies : How Much is theprivate Sector Affected?

Volume/Issue: 2009/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christoph Trebesch

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2009

ISBN: 9781451871760

Keywords: Sovereign Default, Reputation Spillovers, debt policies, debt crisis, external borrowing,

This paper proposes a new empirical measure of cooperative versus conflictual crisis resolution following sovereign default and debt distress. The index of government coerciveness is presented as a proxy for excusa...

Decomposing Financial Risks and Vulnerabilities in Eastern Europe

Decomposing Financial Risks and Vulnerabilities in Eastern Europe »

Source: Decomposing Financial Risks and Vulnerabilities in Eastern Europe

Volume/Issue: 2007/248

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rupert Worrell , Andrea Maechler , and Srobona Mitra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2007

ISBN: 9781451868111

Keywords: credit, banking, banking supervisors, payment systems, connected lending

This paper assesses how various types of financial risk such as credit risk, market risk, and liquidity risk affect banking stability in the ten countries that joined the European Union most recently, and eight nei...