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Aid, Exports, and Growth

Aid, Exports, and Growth »

Source: Aid, Exports, and Growth : A Time-Series Perspective on the Dutch Disease Hypothesis

Volume/Issue: 2013/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joong Kang , Alessandro Prati , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2013

ISBN: 9781484320112

Keywords: Common factors, Panel VARs, Exchange rate overvaluation, exchange rate, real exchange rate, exchange rate policy, trade liberalization, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

We use a heterogeneous panel VAR model identified through factor analysis to study the dynamic response of exports, imports, and per capita GDP growth to a “global” aid shock. We find that a global ai...

Are Regional Trade Agreements in Asia Stumbling or Building Blocks? Implications for the Mekong-3 Countries

Are Regional Trade Agreements in Asia Stumbling or Building Blocks? Implications for the Mekong-3 Countries »

Source: Are Regional Trade Agreements in Asia Stumbling or Building Blocks? Implications for the Mekong-3 Countries

Volume/Issue: 2007/53

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrizia Tumbarello

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2007

ISBN: 9781451866179

Keywords: regional trade agreements, gravity model, trade diversion, Mekong countries, panel data, regional trade, trade agreements, free trade, rules of origin, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Is the recent proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) in Asia a healthy development, or runs the risk of turning into an unmanageable "noodle bowl" in the future? The goal of this paper is to shed some li...

Are Workers' Remittances a Hedge Against Macroeconomic Shocks? the Case of Sri Lanka

Are Workers' Remittances a Hedge Against Macroeconomic Shocks? the Case of Sri Lanka »

Source: Are Workers' Remittances a Hedge Against Macroeconomic Shocks? the Case of Sri Lanka

Volume/Issue: 2007/22

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marta Ruiz-Arranz , and Erik Lueth

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

ISBN: 9781451865868

Keywords: Workers&;amp;#x2019; remittances, Cyclicality, Macroeconomic Shock, Vector Error Correction Model, remittances, remittance, remittance receipts, cointegration, International Factor Movements: Other, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

We estimate a vector error correction (VEC) model for Sri Lanka to determine the response of remittance receipts to macroeconomic shocks. This is the first attempt of its kind in the literature. We find that remitt...

Assessing Early Warning Systems

Assessing Early Warning Systems »

Source: Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice?

Volume/Issue: 2004/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Eduardo Borensztein , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451847284

Keywords: vulnerability indicators, crisis prediction, forecasting accuracy, balance of payments crisis, probability, predictions, currency crisis, probabilities, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork...

Assessing Fiscal Stress

Assessing Fiscal Stress »

Source: Assessing Fiscal Stress

Volume/Issue: 2011/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gabriela Dobrescu , Iva Petrova , Nazim Belhocine , and Emanuele Baldacci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2011

ISBN: 9781455254316

Keywords: fiscal stress, fiscal vulnerability, public debt crises, sovereign default, public debt, fiscal indicators, fiscal crisis, fiscal variables, National Deficit Surplus, Studies of Particular Policy Episodes

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of fiscal sustainability problems for advanced and emerging economies. Unlike previous studies, the index assesses the determinants of fiscal str...

Assessing Monthly Progress towards Annual Fiscal Revenue Targets

Assessing Monthly Progress towards Annual Fiscal Revenue Targets »

Source: Assessing Monthly Progress towards Annual Fiscal Revenue Targets

Volume/Issue: 2002/116

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Kanda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2002

ISBN: 9781451853940

Keywords: fiscal, revenue, hypothesis testing, statistic, tax revenue, equation, tax collections, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications,

A simple statistical methodology is developed to help evaluate monthly progress toward an annual fiscal revenue target, and the applicability of the methodology to both developing and industrial countries is demons...

The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations

The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations »

Source: The Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations : Theory and Evidence From Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2000/184

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Magda Kandil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2000

ISBN: 9781451859355

Keywords: Exchange rate, rational expectations, asymmetric fluctuations, inflation, price inflation, real output

The paper examines the asymmetric effects of exchange rate fluctuations on real output and price in developing countries. The theoretical model decomposes movements in the exchange rate into anticipated and unantic...

Availability of Financial Soundness Indicators

Availability of Financial Soundness Indicators »

Source: Availability of Financial Soundness Indicators

Volume/Issue: 2003/58

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Graham Slack

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451847888

Keywords: dissemination, compilation guide, capital adequacy, banking, banking crises, crisis countries, competitiveness, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

Because the wave of financial crises in recent years has spurred analysts' and policymakers' interest in monitoring the vulnerabilities of financial systems, the need for supporting data has increased. This paper p...

Benefits of Compliance with Securities Listing Standards

Benefits of Compliance with Securities Listing Standards »

Source: Benefits of Compliance with Securities Listing Standards : Evidence From the Depository Receipt Market

Volume/Issue: 2001/79

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Abdourahmane Sarr

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2001

ISBN: 9781451850208

Keywords: Standards implementation, foreign equity investment, standards, equity capital, capital markets, access to international capital markets, Foreign Equity Capital,

The paper finds that costs of implementing stringent securities listing standards may exceed benefits. Depository receipts, a growing source of international equity financing, differ in types by the reporting and d...

Bond Yields in Emerging Economies

Bond Yields in Emerging Economies »

Source: Bond Yields in Emerging Economies : It Matters What State You Are In

Volume/Issue: 2012/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Anke Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505481

Keywords: Emerging Market Economies, Fiscal Deficit, bond, bond yields, domestic bond, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

While many studies have looked into the determinants of yields on externally issued sovereign bonds of emerging economies, analysis of domestically issued bonds has hitherto been limited, despite their growing rele...