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Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease

Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease »

Source: Boom-Bust Cycle, Asymmetrical Fiscal Response and the Dutch Disease

Volume/Issue: 2010/94

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kareem Ismail , and Rabah Arezki

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

ISBN: 9781451982718

Keywords: Fiscal Asymmetry, export value, reer, fiscal rules, oil export, Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

We examine the behavior of expenditure policy during boom-bust in commodity price cycles, and its implication for real exchange rate movements. To do so, we introduce a Dutch disease model with downward rigidities...

Credit Growth in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia Region

Credit Growth in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia Region »

Source: Credit Growth in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia Region

Volume/Issue: 2008/184

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Joe Crowley

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2008

ISBN: 9781451870428

Keywords: Credit Growth, Oil Inflows, export growth, oil producers, oil export,

Rapid private sector credit growth in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia has been a result of strong economic growth, financial deepening, and banks’ willingness to explore consumer credit marke...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy*

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy* »

Source: The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

The Euro and the Production Structure and Export Performance of Middle East and North African Countries

The Euro and the Production Structure and Export Performance of Middle East and North African Countries »

Source: The Euro and the Production Structure and Export Performance of Middle East and North African Countries

Volume/Issue: 1999/12

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jean-François Ruhashyankiko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451842883

Keywords: euro, exchange rate, production structure, export performance, equation, standard errors, statistics, correlation

This paper explores the link between exchange rate volatility of European currencies and economic performance of several countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The elimination of intra euro-zone exch...

Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Output in Oil-Producing Countries

Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Output in Oil-Producing Countries »

Source: Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Output in Oil-Producing Countries : The Case of Iran

Volume/Issue: 2007/113

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Magda Kandil , and Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2007

ISBN: 9781451866773

Keywords: non-oil exports, imported inputs, exchange rate, oil exports, effective exchange rate, real effective exchange rate,

Conventional wisdom states that currency depreciation in oil-producing countries are contractionary because demand effects, limited by the prevalence of oil exports priced in dollars, are more than offset by advers...

Exchange Rate Unification, the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate, and Choice of Exchange Rate Regime

Exchange Rate Unification, the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate, and Choice of Exchange Rate Regime »

Source: Exchange Rate Unification, the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate, and Choice of Exchange Rate Regime : The Case of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Volume/Issue: 1999/15

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451843248

Keywords: Exchange rate unification, equilibrium exchange rate, exchange rate regime, Islamic Republic of Iran, exchange rate, real exchange rate, oil exports, reer, exchange rates

This paper reviews recent developments in the exchange system in the Islamic Republic of Iran and in the real effective exchange rate (REER). It also considers the determinants of the REER in connection with the ch...

An Extended Scenario and Adjustment Model for Developing Countries

An Extended Scenario and Adjustment Model for Developing Countries »

Source: An Extended Scenario and Adjustment Model for Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 1993/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hossein Samiei , Manmohan Kumar , and Sheila Bassett

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1993

ISBN: 9781451849387

Keywords: export volume, current account, current account balance, debt ratio, oil exports, Research Department,

This paper discusses three important extensions to the developing country scenario and adjustment model used in the World Economic Outlook exercises. First, the model is augmented to include fiscal and monetary sec...

Global Imbalances and Petrodollars

Global Imbalances and Petrodollars »

Source: Global Imbalances and Petrodollars

Volume/Issue: 2009/89

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fuad Hasanov , and Rabah Arezki

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872361

Keywords: Oil exporters, exporters, exporting countries, oil-exporting countries, terms of trade,

Oil exporters have run large current account surpluses. We explore oil exporters' role in our understanding and the resolution of global imbalances. Current account dynamics are estimated for oil-exporting countrie...

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles*

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles* »

Source: The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles

Volume/Issue: 2012/255

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475581645

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, macroeconomic shocks, international business cycle, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, oil exports, reer

This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GD...

An Extended Scenario and Adjustment Model for Developing Countries

An Extended Scenario and Adjustment Model for Developing Countries »

Volume/Issue: 1993/73

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hossein Samiei , Manmohan Kumar , and Sheila Bassett

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1993

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451849387.001

ISBN: 9781451849387

Keywords: export volume, current account, current account balance, debt ratio, oil exports, Research Department,

This paper discusses three important extensions to the developing country scenario and adjustment model used in the World Economic Outlook exercises. First, the model is augmented to include fiscal and monetary sec...