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IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 1

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451974515

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, currency crises, interest rates

This paper analyzes some leading indicators of currency crises, and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual beha...

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451973600

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, exchange rates, international trade, real exchange

This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in indust...

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 42 No. 3

Volume: 42

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1995

ISBN: 9781451973396

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, exchange rates, real exchange rate, real exchange rates

This paper analyzes long-term exchange rate modeling. The paper reviews the literature that tests for a unit root in real exchange rates and the closely related work on testing for a unit root in the residual from...

IMF Working Papers

IMF Working Papers »

Source: IMF Staff papers : Volume 38 No. 3

Volume: 38

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1991

ISBN: 9781451973136

Keywords: current account, real exchange, real exchange rate, exchange rate, trade liberalization

Trade liberalization in developing countries is frequently opposed on the grounds that, because it is likely to cause a deterioration in the external balance, it may not be a viable policy option for countries faci...

Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa

Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa »

Source: IMF Staff Papers : Volume 49: Special Issue: IMF Annual Research Conference

Volume: 49

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 November 2002

ISBN: 9781589061231

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, exchange rates, real exchange rate, real interest, IMF Staff papers,

...

The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in Currency Crises

The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in Currency Crises »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 47, Special Issue, IMF Annual Research Conference,

Volume: 47

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): Robert Flood , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 November 2001

ISBN: 9781451963090

Keywords: exchange rate, exchange rates, real exchange rates, real exchange rate, balance of payments

This paper presents a broad overview of postwar analytical thinking on international macroeconomics, culminating in a more detailed discussion of recent progress. The paper reviews important empirical evidence that...

Interest Spreads in Banking in Colombia, 1974–96

Interest Spreads in Banking in Colombia, 1974–96 »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...

International Evidence on the Determinants of Trade Dynamics

International Evidence on the Determinants of Trade Dynamics »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451973600

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, exchange rates, international trade, real exchange

This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in indust...

Investment, Uncertainty, and Irreversibility in Ghana

Investment, Uncertainty, and Irreversibility in Ghana »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 45 No. 3

Volume: 45

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1998

ISBN: 9781451973600

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, exchange rates, international trade, real exchange

This paper presents international evidence on the determinants of trade dynamics. It provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in indust...