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Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti

Managing Reductions in Aid Inflows: Assessing Policy Choices in Haiti »

Volume/Issue: 2018/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioana Moldovan , Marina Rousset , and Chris Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484370322.001

ISBN: 9781484370322

Keywords: Capital inflows, Fiscal policy, Haiti, Low-income developing countries, Monetary policy, Public investment, Foreign aid, General equilibrium models, International reserves, Central banks and their policies

A low-income country such as Haiti that confronts an environment of diminishing aid inflows must assess tradeoffs among the available policy options: spending cuts, monetization, sales of debt, or use of foreign re...

Indonesia
			: Selected Issues

Indonesia : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2017/48

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 February 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475577624.002

ISBN: 9781475577624

Keywords: Selected Issues Papers, Asia and Pacific, Capital inflows, Economic growth, External debt, Fiscal policy, Social safety nets, Tax reforms, Private investment, Indonesia

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the capital inflows to Indonesia since the global financial crisis. Capital inflows to Indonesia have increased since the crisis. Their average volume increased from 3.25 percent...

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets

Real Effects of Capital Inflows in Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2016/235

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Deniz Igan , Ali Kutan , and Ali Mirzae

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475558555.001

ISBN: 9781475558555

Keywords: Financial crises, Industrial sector, Capital flows, Capital inflows, Economic growth, Emerging markets, financial dependence, industry growth, emerging economies, General

We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more...

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2015/226

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Olivier Blanchard , Jonathan Ostry , Atish Ghosh , and Marcos Chamon

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513500805.001

ISBN: 9781513500805

Keywords: capital inflows, bonds, bond, return, domestic bonds, All Countries, apital inflows,

The workhorse open-economy macro model suggests that capital inflows are contractionary because they appreciate the currency and reduce net exports. Emerging market policy makers however believe that inflows lead t...

Joining the Club? Procyclicality of Private Capital Inflows in Low Income Developing Countries

Joining the Club? Procyclicality of Private Capital Inflows in Low Income Developing Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/163

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Juliana Araujo , Antonio David , Carlos van Hombeeck , and Chris Papageorgiou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 July 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513508146.001

ISBN: 9781513508146

Keywords: Cyclicality, Emerging Markets, capital inflows, private capital, international capital, developing countries, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Emerging Markets.,

Using a newly developed dataset this paper examines the cyclicality of private capital inflows to low-income developing countries (LIDCs) over the period 1990-2012. The empirical analysis shows that capital inflows...

Estimation and out-of-sample Prediction of Sudden Stops
			: Do Regions of Emerging Markets Behave Differently from Each Other?

Estimation and out-of-sample Prediction of Sudden Stops : Do Regions of Emerging Markets Behave Differently from Each Other? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/138

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fabio Comelli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513563442.001

ISBN: 9781513563442

Keywords: gross capital inflows, emerging market economies, emerging market, market, market economies, Models with Panel Data, emerging market economies.,

We identify episodes of sudden stops in emerging economies and estimate the probability to observe them. Sudden stops are more likely when global growth falters, risk aversion in financial markets rises, and vulner...

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We?

Investment in Emerging Markets We Are Not in Kansas Anymore…Or Are We? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/77

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Magud , and Sebastian Sosa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 April 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475534221.001

ISBN: 9781475534221

Keywords: financial constraints, private investment, commodity, debt, General, General, General, General, capital inflows.,

We document that (i) although private investment growth in emerging markets has decelerated in recent years, it came down from cyclical highs and remains close to pre-crisis trends; and (ii) investment-to-output ra...

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
			: Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed?

Gross Private Capital Flows to Emerging Markets : Can the Global Financial Cycle Be Tamed? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Erlend Nier , Tahsin Saadi Sedik , and Tomas Mondino

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498351867.001

ISBN: 9781498351867

Keywords: Global financial cycles, Emerging Market Economies, capital inflows, private capital, capital controls, Other, Portfolio Choice,

This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX,...

Regulating Capital Flows at Both Ends
			: Does it Work?

Regulating Capital Flows at Both Ends : Does it Work? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/188

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Atish Ghosh , Mahvash Qureshi , and Naotaka Sugawara

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498358743.001

ISBN: 9781498358743

Keywords: cross-boder bank flows, prudential measures, bond, capital inflow, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper examines whether cross-border capital flows can be regulated by imposing capital account restrictions (CARs) in both source and recipient countries, as was originally advocated by John Maynard Keynes and...

Emerging Market Volatility
			: Lessons from The Taper Tantrum

Emerging Market Volatility : Lessons from The Taper Tantrum »

Volume/Issue: 2014/9

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Ratna Sahay , Vivek Arora , Athanasios Arvanitis , Hamid Faruqee , Papa N'Diaye , and Tommaso Mancini Griffoli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498318204.006

ISBN: 9781498318204

Keywords: Monetary policy, Emerging markets, United States, Capital flows, Financial markets, Capital market volatility, Macroprudential Policy, Developed countries, Tapering, unconventional monetary policy

Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discusse...