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The Future of China's Bond Market

This book analyzes segments of China's bond market, from sovereign, policy bank, and credit bonds, to the rapidly growing local government bond market.

The Future of China's Bond Market

This book analyzes segments of China's bond market, from sovereign, policy bank, and credit bonds, to the rapidly growing local government bond market.

Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again

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Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again »

Source: Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again

Volume/Issue: 2019/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Etibar Jafarov , Rodolfo Maino , and Marco Pani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513512488

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic stabilization, Interest rates on deposits, Interest rates on loans, Financial statistics, Financial Repression, Financial Liberalization, Financial Regulations, Growth., WP

Financial repression (legal restrictions on interest rates, credit allocation, capital movements, and other financial operations) was widely used in the past but was largely abandoned in the liberalization wave of...

Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again

New
Financial Repression is Knocking at the Door, Again »

Volume/Issue: 2019/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Etibar Jafarov , Rodolfo Maino , and Marco Pani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512488.001

ISBN: 9781513512488

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic stabilization, Interest rates on deposits, Interest rates on loans, Financial statistics, Financial Repression, Financial Liberalization, Financial Regulations, Growth., WP

Financial repression (legal restrictions on interest rates, credit allocation, capital movements, and other financial operations) was widely used in the past but was largely abandoned in the liberalization wave of...

What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output

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What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output »

Volume/Issue: 2019/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bas Bakker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512532.001

ISBN: 9781513512532

Keywords: Real sector, Real interest rates, Return on investment, Unemployment, Investment, Monetary policy, potential output, Solow-Swan, WP, investment rate

In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a declin...

What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output

New
What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output »

Source: What Happens if Central Banks Misdiagnose a Slowdown in Potential Output

Volume/Issue: 2019/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Bas Bakker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513512532

Keywords: Real sector, Real interest rates, Return on investment, Unemployment, Investment, Monetary policy, potential output, Solow-Swan, WP, investment rate

In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a declin...

How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? »

Source: How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

Volume/Issue: 2019/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alvar Kangur , Koralai Kirabaeva , Jean-Marc Natal , and Simon Voigts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513512549

Keywords: Real interest rates, Economic theory, Potential output, Structural fiscal balance, Capacity utilization, Business Cycles, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, WP, output gap

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw ec...

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs?

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , and Carolina Osorio Buitron

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513511900.001

ISBN: 9781513511900

Keywords: Central banking and monetary issues, Financial crises, Real sector, Reserve requirements, Market interest rates, cross-border bank lending, emerging markets, global banks, WP, sign restriction

This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and th...

How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?

How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alvar Kangur , Koralai Kirabaeva , Jean-Marc Natal , and Simon Voigts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513512549.001

ISBN: 9781513512549

Keywords: Real interest rates, Economic theory, Potential output, Structural fiscal balance, Capacity utilization, Business Cycles, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, WP, output gap

We study the properties of the IMF-WEO estimates of real-time output gaps for countries in the euro area as well as the determinants of their revisions over 1994-2017. The analysis shows that staff typically saw ec...

More Gray, More Volatile? Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy

More Gray, More Volatile? Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy »

Volume/Issue: 2019/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Baksa , and Zsuzsa Munkacsi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513509082.001

ISBN: 9781513509082

Keywords: Price indexes, Economic growth, Real interest rates, Central banking and monetary issues, Negative interest rates, aging, monetary policy transmission, optimal monetary policy, inflation targeting, WP

The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward p...

More Gray, More Volatile? Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy1

More Gray, More Volatile? Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy1 »

Source: More Gray, More Volatile? Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy

Volume/Issue: 2019/198

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Daniel Baksa , and Zsuzsa Munkacsi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513509082

Keywords: Price indexes, Economic growth, Real interest rates, Central banking and monetary issues, Negative interest rates, aging, monetary policy transmission, optimal monetary policy, inflation targeting, WP

The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward p...

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs?

US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs? »

Source: US vs. Euro Area: Who Drives Cross-Border Bank Lending to EMs?

Volume/Issue: 2019/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , and Carolina Osorio Buitron

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2019

ISBN: 9781513511900

Keywords: Central banking and monetary issues, Financial crises, Real sector, Reserve requirements, Market interest rates, cross-border bank lending, emerging markets, global banks, WP, sign restriction

This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and th...