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Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery

Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery »

Source: Fiscal Decentralization and the Efficiency of Public Service Delivery

Volume/Issue: 2015/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Moussé Sow , and Ivohasina Razafimahefa

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 March 2015

ISBN: 9781484351116

Keywords: Decentralization, efficiency, stochastic frontier analysis, fiscal decentralization, public expenditure, expenditure, Methodological Issues: General, Single Equation Models: Single Variables: Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation, General, Intergovernmental Relations,

This paper explores the impact of fiscal decentralization on the efficiency of public service delivery. It uses a stochastic frontier method to estimate time-varying efficiency coefficients and analyzes the impact...

Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia

Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia »

Source: Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia

Volume/Issue: 2002/111

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Uma Ramakrishnan , and Athanasios Vamvakidis

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2002

ISBN: 9781451853483

Keywords: inflation forecasting, monetary policy, price inflation, monetary fund, money supply, Model Construction and Estimation, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation,

A reliable inflation-forecasting model is central for a sound monetary policy framework. In this paper, we study the domestic and international transmission effects on inflation in Indonesia and analyze the possibl...

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies »

Source: Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

Volume/Issue: 2018/164

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nan Geng

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 July 2018

ISBN: 9781484367629

Keywords: Housing markets, House prices, Valuation gaps, OECD countries, Models with Panel Data, Model Construction and Estimation, Housing Supply and Markets, Housing Demand

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially follow...

Global Bonding

Global Bonding »

Source: Global Bonding : Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?

Volume/Issue: 2012/298

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , and Trung Bui

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 December 2012

ISBN: 9781475586633

Keywords: Identification, international financial linkages, bond, equity markets, bond yields, financial markets, Estimation, Time-Series Models, General,

This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results su...

Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus*

Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus* »

Source: Government Investment and Fiscal Stimulus

Volume/Issue: 2010/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Susan Yang , Todd Walker , and Eric Leeper

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2010

ISBN: 9781455208944

Keywords: government investment, implementation delays, DGSE Bayesian Estimation, government spending, fiscal adjustments, tax rates,

Effects of government investment are studied in an estimated neoclassical growth model. The analysis focuses on two dimensions that are critical for understanding government investment as a fiscal stimulus: impleme...

GPM6

GPM6 »

Source: GPM6 : The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions

Volume/Issue: 2013/87

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioan Carabenciov , Charles Freedman , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Ondra Kamenik , and Petar Manchev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2013

ISBN: 9781484318942

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economist...

Growth Determinants Revisited

Growth Determinants Revisited »

Source: Growth Determinants Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2009/268

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides , and Alin Mirestean

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2009

ISBN: 9781451874136

Keywords: growth regressions, Bayesian Model Averaging, dynamic panel estimation, limited information estimation, probability, econometrics, probabilities, equation, growth model,

This paper revisits the cross-country growth empirics debate using a novel Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging framework to address model uncertainty in the context of a dynamic growth model in panel data...

Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty

Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty »

Source: Growth Empirics Under Model Uncertainty : Is Africa Different?

Volume/Issue: 2005/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2005

ISBN: 9781451860375

Keywords: growth regressions, Bayesian model averaging, dynamic panel estimation, debt, probability, samples, debt service, external debt, Bayesian Analysis, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data

This paper attempts to identify robust patterns of cross-country growth behavior in the world as a whole and Africa. It employs a novel methodology that incorporates a dynamic panel estimator, and Bayesian Model Av...

Growth in East Asia

Growth in East Asia »

Source: Growth in East Asia : What We Can and What We Cannot Infer From it

Volume/Issue: 1995/98

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Sarel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1995

ISBN: 9781451852080

Keywords: growth rates, economic growth, growth rate, growth accounting, estimation period

This paper examines the different arguments raised by the studies that addressed the East Asian growth experience. The original arguments presented in this paper are all on the negative side, highlighting problems...

High Inflation and Real Wages

High Inflation and Real Wages »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 51, No. 1

Volume: 51

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 April 2004

ISBN: 9781589063228

Keywords: expenditure, bribe, government expenditure, bribes, Banks and banking, Special Drawing Rights (SDR), Capital Stock, Cointegration, Demand (economic Theory), Empirical Methods

This first issue of Volume 51 for 2004 includes a new paper by Peter B. Clark and Jacques J. Polak, along with a tribute from the Editor to Mr. Polak in honor of his 90th birthday. This issue also launches a new fe...