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3. Institutional Sources of Fiscal Risks

3. Institutional Sources of Fiscal Risks »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

This section considers risks that arise from weaknesses in institutional frameworks. Specifically, weaknesses in budget and financial management processes can often be a significant source of fiscal risk. Ex...

1. Macroeconomic Shocks

1. Macroeconomic Shocks »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

The most recent public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) conducted by IMF and World Bank staff suggests that, in the baseline scenario, the public debt (in present value terms) would remain below the 50 per...

Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Volume: 15

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

This paper takes stock of the main fiscal risks facing the EAC partner countries. These include macroeconomic shocks, and specific risks, such as the financial performance of the public enterprises, large infrastru...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

This paper takes stock of the main fiscal risks facing the EAC partner countries. These include macroeconomic shocks, and specific risks, such as the financial performance of the public enterprises, large infrastru...

Overview

Overview »

Source: Toward a Monetary Union in the East African Community : Asymmetric Shocks, Exchange Rates, and Risk-Sharing Mechanisms

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Ejona Fuli , and Sébastien Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513562179

Keywords: Monetary unions, Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, East Africa, Economic growth, Agricultural sector, Natural resources

In late 2013 the East African Community (EAC) countries (Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda) signed a joint protocol setting out the process and convergence criteria for an EAC monetary union. The...

Overview

Overview »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

Monitoring and managing fiscal risks—defined as the possibility of deviations of fiscal outcomes from what was expected at the time of the budget or other forecast—are always key aspects of policymaking. The...

Overview

Overview »

Source: A Work in Progress : Integrating Markets for Goods, Labor, and Capital in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Emre Alper , Wenjie Chen , Jemma Dridi , Herve Joly , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 January 2017

ISBN: 9781475560350

Keywords: financial integration, East African Community, goods, labor, capital

The East African Community (EAC) aims to deepen cooperation among its member states in the political, economic, and social domains. The EAC was formally established by Kenya, Tanzania, and Ugand...

3. Risk Sharing and Other Mechanisms to Mitigate the Impact of Shocks

3. Risk Sharing and Other Mechanisms to Mitigate the Impact of Shocks »

Source: Toward a Monetary Union in the East African Community : Asymmetric Shocks, Exchange Rates, and Risk-Sharing Mechanisms

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Ejona Fuli , and Sébastien Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513562179

Keywords: Monetary unions, Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, East Africa, Economic growth, Agricultural sector, Natural resources

The previous sections described some of the challenges that are likely to emerge in the lead up to the EAC Monetary Union. First, there is wide prevalence of asymmetric shocks in the member coun...

2. Specific Risks

2. Specific Risks »

Source: Monitoring and Managing Fiscal Risks in the East African Community

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paolo Mauro , Herve Joly , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Francois Boutin-Dufresne , Jemma Dridi , Nikoloz Gigineishvili , Tom Josephs , Clara Mira , Vimal Thakoor , Alun Thomas , and Fan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 August 2015

ISBN: 9781513551265

Keywords: Burundi, East Africa, Fiscal risk, Infrastructure, Kenya, Public enterprises, Risk management, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda

A. Public Enterprises Historically, public enterprises have played an important role in the economies of EAC partner states. 10 The quality, timelin...

Toward a Monetary Union in the East African Community: Asymmetric Shocks, Exchange Rates, and Risk-Sharing Mechanisms

Toward a Monetary Union in the East African Community: Asymmetric Shocks, Exchange Rates, and Risk-Sharing Mechanisms »

Source: Toward a Monetary Union in the East African Community : Asymmetric Shocks, Exchange Rates, and Risk-Sharing Mechanisms

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Paulo Drummond , Ari Aisen , Emre Alper , Ejona Fuli , and Sébastien Walker

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 July 2015

ISBN: 9781513562179

Keywords: Monetary unions, Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, East Africa, Economic growth, Agricultural sector, Natural resources

This paper examines how susceptible East African Community (EAC) economies are to asymmetric shocks, assesses the value of the exchange rate as a shock absorber for these countries, and reviews adjustment mechanism...