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Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy »

Source: Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Volume/Issue: 2014/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2014

ISBN: 9781616355784

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, Bayesian econometrics, consumption, equilibrium, demand, Bayesian Analysis

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...

Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries

Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries »

Source: Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries

Volume/Issue: 2015/49

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ahmat Jidoud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2015

ISBN: 9781498300940

Keywords: Macroeconomic Volatility, African Economies, Financial Frictions, consumption, business cycle, economies, supply, Bayesian Analysis, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Frictions.,

This paper investigates the channels through which remittances affect macroeconomic volatility in African countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model augmented with financial frictions. Em...

The Role of Monetary Policy in Turkey During the Global Financial Crisis

The Role of Monetary Policy in Turkey During the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: The Role of Monetary Policy in Turkey During the Global Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2011/150

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag , and Harun Alp

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455270484

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE models, emerging economies, exchange rate, exchange rate regime, interest rates, Bayesian Analysis, And The Supply Of Money And Credit,

Turkey is an interesting case study because it was one of the hardest hit emerging economies by the global financial crisis, with a year-over-year contraction of 15 percent during the first quarter of 2009. At the...

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy? »

Source: Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Volume/Issue: 2012/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Harun Alp , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475542851

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, global financial crisis, Thai floods, emerging markets, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, emerging markets.

Thailand had to endure three major shocks during 2008-2011: the global financial crisis, the Japanese earthquake, and the Thai floods of 2011. Over this period, consistent with its inflation targeting framework, th...

System Priors for Econometric Time Series1

System Priors for Econometric Time Series1 »

Source: System Priors for Econometric Time Series

Volume/Issue: 2016/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , and Miroslav Plašil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 17 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475555820

Keywords: Time series, system priors, Bayesian analysis, Methodological Issues: General, Time-Series Models, Model Construction and Estimation

The paper introduces 'system priors', their use in Bayesian analysis of econometric time series, and provides a simple and illustrative application. System priors were devised by Andrle and Benes (2013) as a tool t...

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy

The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy »

Source: The Transmission Mechanism of European Monetary Policy : Is There Heterogeneity? Is it Changing over Time?

Volume/Issue: 2002/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matteo Ciccarelli , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

ISBN: 9781451847529

Keywords: Bayesian estimation, European monetary policy, Gibbs sampling, Heterogeneity, Transmission mechanism, inflation, central bank, monetary transmission, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Bayesian Analysis

This paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in the four largest euro area countries by means Bayesian estimation of dynamic econometric models. Based on pre-EMU evidence from Germany, Fran...