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Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy
			: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Macrofinancial Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2015/227

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513537429.001

ISBN: 9781513537429

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Macroprudential policy analysis, Spillover analysis, Forecasting, World economy, Bayesian econometrics, financial variables, demand, risk

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...

Measuring Disinflation Credibility in Emerging Markets
			: A Bayesian Approach with An Application to Turkey

Measuring Disinflation Credibility in Emerging Markets : A Bayesian Approach with An Application to Turkey »

Volume/Issue: 2004/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , and Marco Rossi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451874730.001

ISBN: 9781451874730

Keywords: Bayesian Learning, Credibility, Mixing Estimation, inflation, monetary policy, inflation process, inflation rate, inflation targeting, Bayesian Analysis, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper presents an empirical measure of disinflation credibility and discusses its evolution in Turkey since the 2001 crisis. The results indicate that credibility has improved markedly over this period, boding...

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in the Post-war U.S »

Volume/Issue: 2010/243

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Susan Yang , and Nora Traum

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209439.001

ISBN: 9781455209439

Keywords: Monetary and Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions, New Keynesian Models, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, monetary authority, nominal interest rate, monetary economics, Bayesian Analysis, Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General,

A New Keynesian model allowing for an active monetary and passive fiscal policy (AMPF) regime and a passive monetary and active fiscal policy (PMAF) regime is fit to various U.S. samples from 1955 to 2007. Data in...

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the Group of Twenty
			: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the Group of Twenty : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2010/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201358.001

ISBN: 9781455201358

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian conditioning on judgment, inflation, monetary conditions, nominal interest rate, Bayesian Analysis, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Model Construction and Estimation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into twenty national economies along the lines of the Group of Twenty. This structu...

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy
			: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2009/238

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873856.001

ISBN: 9781451873856

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, world economy, panel unobserved components model, Bayesian conditioning on judgment, monetary conditions, nominal interest rate, price inflation, Bayesian Analysis, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Model Construction and Estimation

This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model...

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy
			: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2013/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484314609.001

ISBN: 9781484314609

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, domestic demand, terms of trade, current account balance, output growth, world economy, Bayesian Analysis, Models with Panel Data

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model encompasses an approximate linear panel dynami...

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the  World Economy
			: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach

Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy : A Panel Unobserved Components Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2012/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504187.001

ISBN: 9781475504187

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel unobserved components model, Bayesian econometrics, inflation, domestic demand, terms of trade, price inflation

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. This panel unobserved components model features a monetary transmission mechanism, a...

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy
			: A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach

Policy and Spillover Analysis in the World Economy : A Panel Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach »

Volume/Issue: 2014/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616355784.001

ISBN: 9781616355784

Keywords: Monetary policy analysis, Fiscal policy analysis, Spillover analysis, World economy, Panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model, Bayesian econometrics, consumption, equilibrium, demand, Bayesian Analysis

This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and rea...

Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries

Remittances and Macroeconomic Volatility in African Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/49

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ahmat Jidoud

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498300940.001

ISBN: 9781498300940

Keywords: Macroeconomic Volatility, African Economies, Financial Frictions, consumption, business cycle, economies, supply, Bayesian Analysis, Model Construction and Estimation, Financial Frictions.,

This paper investigates the channels through which remittances affect macroeconomic volatility in African countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model augmented with financial frictions. Em...

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy?

Shock Therapy! What Role for Thai Monetary Policy? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/269

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Harun Alp , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475542851.001

ISBN: 9781475542851

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, global financial crisis, Thai floods, emerging markets, exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate regime, emerging markets.

Thailand had to endure three major shocks during 2008-2011: the global financial crisis, the Japanese earthquake, and the Thai floods of 2011. Over this period, consistent with its inflation targeting framework, th...