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Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries »

Source: Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries : A Vulnerability Index

Volume/Issue: 2012/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , and Yasemin Bal-Gunduz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475528510

Keywords: Vulnerability index, growth crises, low-income countries, real gdp, gdp growth, gdp per capita, trading partners, exchange rate regime, Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models, Economic Growth of Open Economies

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling app...

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries
			: A Vulnerability Index

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries : A Vulnerability Index »

Volume/Issue: 2012/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Era Dabla-Norris , and Yasemin Bal-Gunduz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475528510.001

ISBN: 9781475528510

Keywords: Vulnerability index, growth crises, low-income countries, real gdp, gdp growth, gdp per capita, trading partners, exchange rate regime, Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models, Economic Growth of Open Economies

This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling app...

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Caribbean
			: The Role of Climatic and External Shocks

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Caribbean : The Role of Climatic and External Shocks »

Volume/Issue: 2009/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Sosa , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873061.001

ISBN: 9781451873061

Keywords: Business cycle, VAR, block exogeneity, Eastern Caribbean, gdp growth, real gdp, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper develops country-specific VAR models with block exogeneity restrictions to analyze how exogenous factors affect business cycles in the Eastern Caribbean. It finds that external shocks play a key role, ex...

Workers' Remittances
			: An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission?

Workers' Remittances : An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , Ralph Chami , Christian Ebeke , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475535822.001

ISBN: 9781475535822

Keywords: Business Cycle Synchronization, remittance, business cycle, remittance flows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data...

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Caribbean

Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Caribbean »

Source: Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Caribbean : The Role of Climatic and External Shocks

Volume/Issue: 2009/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sebastian Sosa , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2009

ISBN: 9781451873061

Keywords: Business cycle, VAR, block exogeneity, Eastern Caribbean, gdp growth, real gdp, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper develops country-specific VAR models with block exogeneity restrictions to analyze how exogenous factors affect business cycles in the Eastern Caribbean. It finds that external shocks play a key role, ex...

Workers’ Remittances

Workers’ Remittances »

Source: Workers' Remittances : An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission?

Volume/Issue: 2012/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , Ralph Chami , Christian Ebeke , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475535822

Keywords: Business Cycle Synchronization, remittance, business cycle, remittance flows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data...