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Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America

Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America »

Source: Accounting for Output Drops in Latin America

Volume/Issue: 2009/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ruy Lama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872149

Keywords: Business cycle accounting, DSGE models, small open economy, tfp, bond, business cycle, total factor productivity,

This paper evaluates what type of models can account for the recent episodes of output drops in Latin America. I develop an open economy version of the business cycle accounting methodology (Chari, Kehoe, and McGra...

Analytical and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits

Analytical and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits »

Source: Analytical and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits

Volume/Issue: 1990/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1990

ISBN: 9781451947380

Keywords: inflation, aggregate demand, central bank, monetary fund, fiscal deficit

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, inclu...

An Analytical Framework of Environmental Issues

An Analytical Framework of Environmental Issues »

Source: An Analytical Framework of Environmental Issues

Volume/Issue: 1993/53

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jonathan Levin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 1993

ISBN: 9781451847314

Keywords: environment, pollution, environmental effects, sulfur, carbon dioxide

Environmental effects which were insignificant in the past, when the fewer concentrations of population or products of modern technology allowed the vast absorptive capacity of nature to act as a sink, are quite ev...

The Anatomy of Banking Crises

The Anatomy of Banking Crises »

Source: The Anatomy of Banking Crises

Volume/Issue: 2008/93

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rupa Duttagupta , and Paul Cashin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2008

ISBN: 9781451869545

Keywords: binary classification tree, exchange rate, banking, banking system, deposit insurance,

This paper uses a Binary Classification Tree (BCT) model to analyze banking crises in 50 emerging market and developing countries during 1990-2005. The BCT identifies key indicators and their threshold values at wh...

Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises1

Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises1 »

Source: Anticipating Credit Events Using Credit Default Swaps, with An Application to Sovereign Debt Crises

Volume/Issue: 2003/106

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2003

ISBN: 9781451852912

Keywords: Credit default swaps, maximum recovery rate, default probability, bond, probability, probabilities, credit derivatives, correlation, Financial Economics: General, Credit defaults swaps,

In reduced-form pricing models, it is usual to assume a fixed recovery rate to obtain the probability of default from credit default swap prices. An alternative credit risk measure is proposed here: the maximum rec...

Any Link Between Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean

Any Link Between Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean »

Source: Any Link Between Legal Central Bank Independence and Inflation? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean

Volume/Issue: 2005/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Jácome , and Francisco Vazquez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2005

ISBN: 9781451860948

Keywords: structural reform, Latin America, central bank, central banks, monetary policy, monetary fund, Latin Amercia,

This paper reviews central bank legislation in 24 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean during the 1990s. Using panel regressions, we find a negative relationship between legal central bank independence (CBI...

Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets

Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets »

Source: Are Credit Default Swaps Spreads High in Emerging Markets : An Alternative Methodology for Proxying Recovery Value

Volume/Issue: 2003/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manmohan Singh

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

ISBN: 9781451875836

Keywords: recovery value, credit default swaps, cheapest-to-deliver bonds, bonds, bond, probability, correlation, probability of default,

In times of distress when a country loses access to markets, there is evidence that credit default swap (CDS) spreads are a leading indicator for sovereign risk than the EMBI+ sub-index for the country. However, it...

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Volume/Issue: 1998/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

ISBN: 9781451857207

Keywords: Currency crises, vulnerability indicators, Asian crisis, balance of payments crises, crisis prediction, probability, probabilities, correlation, crisis index, predictions

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been...

Are Financial Crises Alike?

Are Financial Crises Alike? »

Source: Are Financial Crises Alike?

Volume/Issue: 2010/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chrismin Tang , Mardi Dungey , Vance Martin , Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo , and Renee Fry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

ISBN: 9781451962086

Keywords: Contagion, Factor models, bond, bonds, bond markets, stock markets,

This paper investigates whether financial crises are alike by considering whether a single modeling framework can fit multiple distinct crises in which contagion effects link markets across national borders and ass...

Are Foreign Banks a 'Safe Haven'? Evidence from Past Banking Crises

Are Foreign Banks a 'Safe Haven'? Evidence from Past Banking Crises »

Source: Are Foreign Banks a 'Safe Haven'? Evidence from Past Banking Crises

Volume/Issue: 2015/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gustavo Adler , and Eugenio Cerutti

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 February 2015

ISBN: 9781616357047

Keywords: crisis, bank run, banks, bank, deposits,

The presence of foreign banks in emerging markets has increased markedly over the last two decades, raising questions about their potentially stabilizing or destabilizing role during times of financial distress. Mo...