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International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

IMF Country Report No. 23/376

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
The 2023 Article IV Consultation discusses that Nauru faces structural challenges due to its small size and remoteness, and is highly dependent on imports. The narrow revenue base comprises fishing license fees, residual phosphate processing, and revenue from the Regional Processing Center (RPC). Nauru is vulnerable to the negative effects of climate change, as the population inhabit in a narrow coastal area. The health and economic impact of the pandemic has been limited in Nauru, thanks to successful vaccination and containment strategies. Growth is expected to moderate over the medium term due to the planned scale-down of the RPC. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, stemming from continued pressure on financial services, delayed fiscal and structural reforms, and the uncertain future of the RPC. Nauru remains vulnerable to external shocks such as a rise in commodity prices, a sharp global slowdown, and climate change. Structural policies should improve human capital, climate resilience, diversification, and governance. Education spending should prioritize improving enrolment and attendance rates.
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

1. Nauru faces structural challenges due to its small size and remoteness. Nauru is located in the south Pacific Ocean with approximately 21 square kilometers of land and a population of 12,000. Its geographical isolation and small size make Nauru dependent on imports and vulnerable to external shocks. A narrow and volatile revenue base comprises fishing license fees, residual phosphate processing revenue, and revenue from the Regional Processing Center (RPC)1, which is being scaled down. Phosphate mining has resulted in widespread land degradation, forcing the population to inhabit in a narrow coastal area, thereby increasing their vulnerability to climate change.

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

This was the first full in-person mission since the pandemic. The authorities attach significant value to engagement with the IMF and broadly concur with the staff assessment, including most policy recommendations. Being one of the most isolated, small, and vulnerable members of the Fund, Nauru faces difficult policy choices while constrained by very limited prospects for economic diversification.

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

This statement is to update the Executive Board on developments following the issuance of the Staff Report for the 2023 Article IV Consultation. These developments do not alter the thrust of the staff report or staff appraisal.

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

IMF Country Report No. 22/28

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Early and decisive measures successfully prevented an outbreak of COVID-19 in Nauru, and as of January 2022 there have been no COVID-19 cases on the island. Strong pandemic policy measures supported the economy, which continued to expand in FY20 and FY21. Nauru’s remoteness and size constrain potential growth and it is severely exposed to the negative effects of climate change on sea levels and the ocean stock of tuna. Development challenges are exacerbated by limited capacity and a high incidence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

1. Nauru’s size and location pose challenges for economic growth and development. Nauru is a remote island nation in the Pacific, with a land area of about 21 square kilometers and a population of approximately 12,000 people in 2021. Its size and remoteness constrain potential growth and raise its reliance on food and fuel imports. The revenue base—comprising sales of fishing licenses, residual phosphate mining and, since FY2012, revenues associated with the Australian Regional Processing Center (RPC) for asylum seekers—is narrow and volatile. Due to land degradation from phosphate mining in the 1980s, the population mainly resides along the narrow coastal land, raising vulnerability to climate change. Nauru’s population also has a high incidence of non-communicable disease (NCDs).