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Adding China to the Global Projection Model1

Adding China to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding China to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2013/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , Peter Elliott , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Hostland , Douglas Laxton , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484317631

Keywords: Global Macroeconomic Model, inflation target, real interest rate, General, Global Outlook, General,

We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key econom...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Additional Evidenceon Ems Interest Rate Linkages

Additional Evidenceon Ems Interest Rate Linkages »

Source: Additional Evidenceon Ems Interest Rate Linkages

Volume/Issue: 1996/115

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Thornton , and Alicia García-Herrero

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1996

ISBN: 9781451942941

Keywords: interest rates, cointegration, statistics, granger causality, equation

This note examines interest rate linkages within the EMS. Cointegration tests suggest the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between German and other EMS interest rates. Bivariate VAR analysis finds t...

Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India

Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India »

Source: Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India

Volume/Issue: 2012/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Muneesh Kapur , and Michael Patra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2012

ISBN: 9781475503470

Keywords: McCallum Rule, Monetary Policy Reaction Function, Neutral Interest Rate, Taylor Rule, inflation, monetary base, monetary policy rules, central bank, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper empirically evaluates the operational performance of the McCallum rule, the Taylor rule and hybrid rules in India over the period 1996-2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing the...

An Analysis of the Optimal Provision of Public Infrastructure

An Analysis of the Optimal Provision of Public Infrastructure »

Source: An Analysis of the Optimal Provision of Public Infrastructure : A Computational Model Using Mexican Data

Volume/Issue: 1996/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Feltenstein , and Jiming Ha

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1996

ISBN: 9781451842968

Keywords: budget deficit, inflation, foreign borrowing, real interest rate, public expenditure

An intertemporal general equilibrium model is used to examine infrastructure effects on the Mexican national income. Production functions are estimated for the major sectors of the economy in which sectoral output...

Analysis of the Yield on Foreign Exchange Bearer Certificates: Rationality and Financial Behavior in Pakistan

Analysis of the Yield on Foreign Exchange Bearer Certificates: Rationality and Financial Behavior in Pakistan »

Source: Analysis of the Yield on Foreign Exchange Bearer Certificates: Rationality and Financial Behavior in Pakistan

Volume/Issue: 1994/156

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Karim Abdel-Motaal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1994

ISBN: 9781616352455

Keywords: Interest rates, Economic models

The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, incl...

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations

Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations »

Source: Anatomy of Sudden Yen Appreciations

Volume/Issue: 2019/136

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Fei Han , and Niklas Westelius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2019

ISBN: 9781498317344

Keywords: Interest rate differential, Interest rate increases, International financial markets, Interest rates, Exchange rate policy, Carry trade, safe haven effects, exchange rate appreciations, Japan, VIX

The yen is an important barometer for the Japanese economy. Depreciations are typically associated with favorable economic developments such as increased corporate profits, rising equity prices, and upward pressure...

Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China?

Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China? »

Source: Are House Prices Rising Too Fast in China?

Volume/Issue: 2010/274

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ashvin Ahuja , Lillian Cheung , Gaofeng Han , Nathan Porter , and Wenlang Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

ISBN: 9781455210817

Keywords: House price, price misalignment, leverage cycle, mortgage, real estate, land sales, mortgage loan, mortgage interest,

Sharp increase in house prices combined with the extraordinary Chinese lending growth during 2009 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of hou...

Are House Prices Rising too Fast in Hong Kong SAR?

Are House Prices Rising too Fast in Hong Kong SAR? »

Source: Are House Prices Rising too Fast in Hong Kong SAR?

Volume/Issue: 2010/273

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2010

ISBN: 9781455210800

Keywords: House price, price misalignment, prudential measures, mortgage, real interest rates, inflation, mortgage interest,

Sharp increase in house prices in Hong Kong SAR in 2009-2010 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. According to our measure of price deviation from fundamentals, which should be taken as an early w...