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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective

Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective »

Source: Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2010/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhaogang Qiao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982084

Keywords: Consumption risk sharing, Intertemporal smoothing, Nonstationary panel analysis, Cointegration, risk sharing, equation, time series, statistic, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General, International Economics: General,

This paper estimates an empirical nonstationary panel regression model that tests long-run consumption risk sharing across a sample of OECD and emerging market (EM) countries. This is in contrast to the existing li...

Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?

Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis? »

Source: Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?

Volume/Issue: 2003/48

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valerie Cerra , and Sweta Saxena

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451846751

Keywords: Crisis, Recovery, Hong Kong, Korea, recessions, asian crisis, recession, probability, probabilities, International Finance: Other

This paper investigates the extent to which output has recovered from the Asian crisis. A regime-switching approach that introduces two state variables is used to decompose recessions in a set of six Asian countrie...

The Difference Between Hedonic Imputation Indexes and Time Dummy Hedonic Indexes

The Difference Between Hedonic Imputation Indexes and Time Dummy Hedonic Indexes »

Source: The Difference Between Hedonic Imputation Indexes and Time Dummy Hedonic Indexes

Volume/Issue: 2006/181

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Saeed Heravi , and Mick Silver

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2006

ISBN: 9781451864410

Keywords: Hedonic regressions, superlative indexes, equation, paper, statistics, equations, dummy variable, Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data,

Statistical offices try to match item models when measuring inflation between two periods. For product areas with a high turnover of differentiated models, however, the use of hedonic indexes is more appropriate si...

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002

The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China: 1980-2002 »

Source: The Dynamics of Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments in China : 1980-2002

Volume/Issue: 2003/67

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhongxia Jin

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451848922

Keywords: exchange rate, foreign exchange, real exchange rate, real interest rate, exchange reserves, Econometric Methods: - Multiple/Simultaneous Equation Models, Money and Interest Rates, Macroeconomic - Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook

Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in C...

The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of the Malagasy Franc

The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of the Malagasy Franc »

Source: The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of the Malagasy Franc : Estimation and Assessment

Volume/Issue: 2003/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Cady

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2003

ISBN: 9781451844689

Keywords: real exchange rate, cointegration, exchange rate misalignment, exchange rate, equation, exchange rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

Employing cointegration techniques, the long-run determinants of Madagascar's real exchange rate are examined from a stock-flow perspective. The long-run behavior of the real effective exchange rate is explained by...

Euro Area Export Performance and Competitiveness

Euro Area Export Performance and Competitiveness »

Source: Euro Area Export Performance and Competitiveness

Volume/Issue: 2011/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jarkko Turunen , Richard Harmsen , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

ISBN: 9781455265459

Keywords: Competitiveness, Trade equations, euro, export, reer, exchange rates, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Country and Industry Studies of Trade,

Concerns about export growth within the euro area peripheral countries due to a lack of competitiveness within the euro area are a key policy issue. Our analysis suggests that: (i) Long-term price elasticities for...

FEER for the CFA Franc

FEER for the CFA Franc »

Source: FEER for the CFA Franc

Volume/Issue: 2006/236

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Tsangarides , and Yasser Abdih

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2006

ISBN: 9781451864960

Keywords: Equilibrium real exchange rate, FEER, cointegration, WAEMU, CEMAC, exchange rate, effective exchange rate, real exchange rate, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models, Forecasting and Other Model Applications

We apply the fundamentals equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) approach and the Johansen cointegration methodology to investigate the behavior of the real effective exchange rates of the two monetary unions of the CFA...

The Forward Premium Puzzle Revisited

The Forward Premium Puzzle Revisited »

Source: The Forward Premium Puzzle Revisited

Volume/Issue: 2002/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Guy Meredith , and Yue Ma

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2002

ISBN: 9781451844672

Keywords: forward premium puzzle, uncovered interest parity, exchange rate, equation, correlation, exchange rate changes, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The forward premium is a notoriously poor predictor of exchange rate movements. This failure must reflect deviations from risk neutrality and/or rational expectations. In addition, a mechanism is needed that genera...

Government Spending, Legislature Size, and the Executive Veto

Government Spending, Legislature Size, and the Executive Veto »

Source: Government Spending, Legislature Size, and the Executive Veto

Volume/Issue: 2001/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reza Baqir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2001

ISBN: 9781451874709

Keywords: political institutions, executive veto, probability, statistics, equation, correlation, Analysis Of Collective Decision-making, Macroeconomic - Aspects Of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, And General Outlook

Recent work on the political economy of fiscal policy has asked how budgetary institutions affect fiscal outcomes. But what determines the budgetary institutions? In this paper I consider one such institution: the...