3. Convergence in Emerging Europe: Sustainability and Vulnerabilities
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International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
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Abstract

Emerging Europe’s convergence trend is set to continue, based on good fundamentals, although its pace is likely to slow. Concerns about overheating are giving way to those about vulnerabilities. Imbalances in some countries could lead to a more volatile growth experience, with risks of a hard landing. For most emerging economies, macroeconomic and financial policies will need to be further tightened to reduce vulnerabilities, while progress in structural reforms will be essential to sustain smooth convergence over the medium term.

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